Emanuel Moreno vs Steven Navarro

Data as of: 2026-11-04 11:29:40 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-10-22 12:11:55 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Moreno vs Navarro 24 Oct 2026 Model pick: Navarro Locked prediction 62.87% ROI: -25.70% Bantamweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Steven Navarro 62.87%

Moreno odds 4.3000

Navarro odds 1.1818

Moreno implied 23.26%

Navarro implied 84.62%

Market odds 1.1818

Implied probability 84.62%

Expected return 0.7430

ROI -25.70%

Edge -21.74%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-22 12:11:55 UTC

Fighter details

Emanuel Moreno

Score 54.84 · 13-0-0 (3 KO)

Full name Emanuel Moreno

Age N/A · Rank #724 · Confidence Low 0.446

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 165cm · US

Steven Navarro

Score 58.92 · 9-1-0 (6 KO)

Full name Isaias Esteven Navarro

Age 22 · Rank #560 · Confidence Medium 0.505

Stance Switch · H/R 168cm / 168cm · US

Emanuel Moreno

Full name: Emanuel Moreno
Age: N/A
Fighter rank: #724
Current model score: 54.84
Fighter confidence: Low 0.446
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 165cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 13-0-0 (3 KO)

24 Oct 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Navarro

Locked prediction

37% Moreno

63% Navarro

Model pick: Steven Navarro 62.87%
Win probability: 62.87%
Market odds: 1.1818
Implied probability: 84.62%
Expected ROI (1u): -25.70%
Value edge: -21.74%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-22 12:11:55 UTC

Steven Navarro

Full name: Isaias Esteven Navarro
Age: 22
Fighter rank: #560
Current model score: 58.92
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.505
Stance: Switch
Height/Reach: 168cm / 168cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 9-1-0 (6 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

48.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.600

76.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

62.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.420

68.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

64.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.380

72.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

66.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.440

70.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

68.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.460

61.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.450

Distance Footwork Control

67.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.450

64.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.430

Ring IQ Adaptability

69.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.480

63.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.470

Counter Punching

58.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.340

62.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

63.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.330

58.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.400

Cardio Engine

70.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.470

67.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.550

Style Profile Moreno: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Navarro: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.320

18.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.420

Out-Boxer

36.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.460

14.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

6.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.630

22.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer-Puncher

28.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.380

34.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

16.0 Moreno Confidence Low 0.270

12.0 Navarro Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Interaction Moreno vs switch stance · Navarro vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.610

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Moreno Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Navarro Confidence Medium 0.610

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Moreno

66.67 Navarro

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Moreno

33.33 Navarro

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Moreno

100 Navarro

Opponent Rating Last 3

58.42 Moreno

66.3 Navarro

Trend Score Last 5

100 Moreno

80 Navarro

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Moreno

83.33 Navarro

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Moreno

52.38 Navarro

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Moreno

100 Navarro

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

58.42 Moreno

66.3 Navarro

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Moreno

90 Navarro

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Moreno stays in class.

Navarro moves up 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Moreno.

Advantage: Moreno

Height Reach Delta

Moreno height: 165.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Navarro height: 168.0cm reach: 167.6cm

Interaction: medium advantage Navarro.

Advantage: Navarro +5.6cm

Stance Interaction

Moreno vs switch stance: 50.0

Navarro vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Navarro.

Advantage: Navarro

Style Interaction

Moreno style: Out Boxer

Navarro style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral