Model pick Carlos Lopez 84.98%
Lopez odds 1.1053
Hernandez odds 6.0000
Lopez implied 90.47%
Hernandez implied 16.67%
Market odds 1.1053
Implied probability 90.47%
Expected return 0.9393
ROI -6.07%
Edge -5.49%
Lean No Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-08-17 10:12:15 UTC
Score 74.64 · 14-0-0 (11 KO)
Full name Carlos Alfonso Utria Lopez
Age 22 · Rank #151 · Confidence Medium 0.509
Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 176cm · CO
Score 45.75 · 10-1-2 (7 KO)
Full name Israel De Jesus Mercado Hernandez
Age 31 · Rank #737 · Confidence Low 0.458
Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 175cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Lopez stays in class.
Hernandez stays in class.
Interaction: No advantage.
Advantage: Neutral
Height Reach Delta
Lopez height: 175.0cm reach: 176.0cm
Hernandez height: 173.0cm reach: 175.0cm
Interaction: low advantage Lopez.
Advantage: Lopez +3.0cm
Stance Interaction
Lopez vs orthodox: 68.0
Hernandez vs orthodox: 42.0
Interaction: medium advantage Lopez.
Advantage: Lopez
Style Interaction
Lopez style: Power Slugger
Hernandez style: Boxer Puncher
Interaction: medium advantage Hernandez.
Advantage: Hernandez
