OWN YOUR EDGE
Lopez vs Hernandez 22 Aug 2026 Result: Lopez Time-safe result Pick 70.46% Prediction: Correct Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Carlos Lopez

Pre-fight pick Carlos Lopez 70.46%

Prediction result Correct

Lopez odds 1.1053

Hernandez odds 6.0000

Lopez implied 90.47%

Hernandez implied 16.67%

Pre-fight odds 1.1053

Pre-fight implied 90.47%

Expected return 0.7788

ROI -22.12%

Edge -20.01%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-08-17 10:12:15 UTC

Fighter details
CL
Carlos Lopez

Score 65.05 · 14-0-0 (11 KO)

Full name Carlos Alfonso Utria Lopez

Age 22 · Rank #215 · Confidence Medium 0.533

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 176cm · CO

IH
Israel Hernandez

Score 59.25 · 10-1-2 (7 KO)

Full name Israel De Jesus Mercado Hernandez

Age 31 · Rank #428 · Confidence Medium 0.522

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 175cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

85.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.760

71.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

75.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

78.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.520

64.0 Hernandez Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

74.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.560

61.0 Hernandez Confidence Low 0.460

Defensive Skill

68.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.430

69.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

70.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.450

70.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

77.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

69.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.400

63.0 Hernandez Confidence Low 0.400

Chin

66.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.340

73.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.570

Cardio Engine

72.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.550

76.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Lopez: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Hernandez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.440

18.0 Hernandez Confidence Low 0.360

Out-Boxer

16.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.560

26.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

32.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.720

16.0 Hernandez Confidence Low 0.490

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.680

34.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter-Puncher

8.0 Lopez Confidence Low 0.290

6.0 Hernandez Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Lopez vs orthodox  ·  Hernandez vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.580

64.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.580

36.0 Hernandez Confidence Medium 0.550

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Lopez

66.67 Hernandez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Lopez

0 Hernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Lopez

33.33 Hernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3

57.81 Lopez

62.38 Hernandez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Lopez

70 Hernandez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Lopez

72.62 Hernandez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

58.33 Lopez

25 Hernandez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Lopez

33.33 Hernandez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

57.81 Lopez

62.38 Hernandez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Lopez

70 Hernandez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Lopez stays in class.

Hernandez stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Lopez height: 175.0cm reach: 176.0cm

Hernandez height: 173.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Lopez.

Advantage: Lopez +3.0cm

Stance Interaction

Lopez vs orthodox: 68.0

Hernandez vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Lopez style: Power Slugger

Hernandez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Hernandez.

Advantage: Hernandez

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login