OWN YOUR EDGE
Girón vs Pauldo 17 Oct 2026 Model pick: Pauldo Locked prediction 65.72% ROI: 22.38% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Justin Pauldo 65.72%

Girón odds 1.8621

Pauldo odds 1.8621

Girón implied 53.70%

Pauldo implied 53.70%

Market odds 1.8621

Implied probability 53.70%

Expected return 1.2238

ROI 22.38%

Edge 12.02%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-15 08:46:57 UTC

Fighter details
RG
René Téllez Girón

Score 60.26 · 16-5-1 (14 KO)

Full name Juan René Téllez Girón González

Age N/A · Rank #499 · Confidence Medium 0.526

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 173cm · MX

JP
Justin Pauldo

Score 63.86 · 20-2-0 (10 KO)

Full name Justin Rommell Pauldo

Age 32 · Rank #339 · Confidence Medium 0.509

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 183cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

77.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.730

76.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.660

Punching Accuracy

66.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.480

71.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.550

Hand Speed

68.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.420

69.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.440

Pace Pressure

74.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.620

73.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.580

Defensive Skill

60.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.580

67.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.490

68.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring IQ Adaptability

69.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.560

74.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

61.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.390

66.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

67.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.640

72.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.500

Cardio Engine

75.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.670

77.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.670

Style Profile Girón: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer  vs  Pauldo: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

26.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.520

14.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.340

Out-Boxer

11.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.320

21.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.450

Power Slugger

18.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.480

16.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.400

Boxer-Puncher

31.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.580

37.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

14.0 Girón Confidence Low 0.300

12.0 Pauldo Confidence Low 0.250

Stance Interaction Girón vs orthodox  ·  Pauldo vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

66.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.580

42.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

34.0 Girón Confidence Medium 0.580

58.0 Pauldo Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Girón

100 Pauldo

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Girón

66.67 Pauldo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Girón

33.33 Pauldo

Opponent Rating Last 3

58.57 Girón

61.89 Pauldo

Trend Score Last 5

80 Girón

85 Pauldo

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Girón

100 Pauldo

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

33.33 Girón

66.67 Pauldo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Girón

33.33 Pauldo

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

58.57 Girón

61.89 Pauldo

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

82.5 Girón

92.5 Pauldo

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Girón stays in class.

Pauldo stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Girón height: 165.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Pauldo height: 170.2cm reach: 182.9cm

Interaction: high advantage Pauldo.

Advantage: Pauldo +15.1cm

Stance Interaction

Girón vs orthodox: 66.0

Pauldo vs orthodox: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Girón.

Advantage: Girón

Style Interaction

Girón style: Boxer Puncher

Pauldo style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login