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Cully vs Reeves 01 Aug 2026 Model pick: Cully Locked prediction 73.31% ROI: 25.68% Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Gary Cully 73.31%

Cully odds 1.7143

Reeves odds 2.0600

Cully implied 58.33%

Reeves implied 48.54%

Market odds 1.7143

Implied probability 58.33%

Expected return 1.2568

ROI 25.68%

Edge 14.98%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-19 01:38:07 UTC

Fighter details
GC
Gary Cully

Score 58.07 · 18-2-0 (10 KO)

Full name Gary Cully

Age 30 · Rank #476 · Confidence Medium 0.586

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 189cm · IE

LR
Lee Reeves

Score 57.04 · 15-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Lee Reeves

Age 31 · Rank #497 · Confidence Low 0.449

Stance Southpaw · H/R 180cm / 175cm · IE

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

74.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.720

76.0 Reeves Confidence Medium 0.670

Punching Accuracy

68.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.430

Hand Speed

72.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.570

66.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

63.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.560

69.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.490

Defensive Skill

58.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.630

60.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.400

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.660

62.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.370

Ring IQ Adaptability

64.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.610

65.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Punching

71.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.590

58.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.310

Chin

54.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.670

63.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.330

Cardio Engine

67.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.620

67.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.470

Style Profile Cully: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Reeves: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Cully Confidence Low 0.280

12.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.280

Out-Boxer

30.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Reeves Confidence Low 0.400

Power Slugger

18.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.560

24.0 Reeves Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.690

34.0 Reeves Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Cully Confidence Low 0.310

12.0 Reeves Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Cully vs southpaw  ·  Reeves vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.650

64.0 Reeves Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Cully Confidence Medium 0.650

36.0 Reeves Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Cully

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Cully

66.67 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Cully

66.67 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3

55.49 Cully

40.33 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5

60 Cully

100 Reeves

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.56 Cully

100 Reeves

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

27.78 Cully

66.67 Reeves

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Cully

66.67 Reeves

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

55.49 Cully

42.63 Reeves

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Cully

100 Reeves

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Cully stays in class.

Reeves moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Cully.

Advantage: Cully

Height Reach Delta

Cully height: 188.0cm reach: 189.0cm

Reeves height: 180.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Cully.

Advantage: Cully +22.0cm

Stance Interaction

Cully vs southpaw: 28.0

Reeves vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: low advantage Reeves.

Advantage: Reeves

Style Interaction

Cully style: Boxer Puncher

Reeves style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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