Cesar Tapia vs Leonardo Acevedo

Data as of: 2026-10-05 07:23:14 UTC Time-safe result As-of 2026-09-26

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Tapia vs Acevedo 26 Sep 2026 Result: Acevedo Time-safe result Pick 63.14% Prediction: Incorrect Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Leonardo Acevedo

Pre-fight pick Cesar Tapia 63.14%

Prediction result Incorrect

Tapia odds 1.3571

Acevedo odds 3.0000

Tapia implied 73.69%

Acevedo implied 33.33%

Pre-fight odds 1.3571

Pre-fight implied 73.69%

Expected return 0.8569

ROI -14.31%

Edge -10.55%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-24 08:12:49 UTC

Fighter details

Cesar Tapia

Score 48.47 · 18-0-1 (11 KO)

Full name Cesar Mateo Tapia

Age 28 · Rank #880 · Confidence Low 0.357

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 185cm · AU

Leonardo Acevedo

Score 56.49 · 17-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Leonardo Ruiz Acevedo

Age 27 · Rank #602 · Confidence Low 0.499

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 185cm · MX

Cesar Tapia

Full name: Cesar Mateo Tapia
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #880
Current model score: 48.47
Fighter confidence: Low 0.357
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 185cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 18-0-1 (11 KO)

26 Sep 2026

Confirmed Result

Result

Acevedo

Time-safe result

0% Tapia

100% Acevedo

Fight result: Leonardo Acevedo
Pre-fight pick: Cesar Tapia 63.14%
Prediction result: Incorrect
Pick probability: 63.14%
Pre-fight odds: 1.3571
Pre-fight implied: 73.69%
Expected ROI (1u): -14.31%
Value edge: -10.55%
Lean assessment: No Value

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-09-24 08:12:49 UTC

Leonardo Acevedo

Full name: Leonardo Ruiz Acevedo
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #602
Current model score: 56.49
Fighter confidence: Low 0.499
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 182cm / 185cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 17-1-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

69.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.420

71.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.680

Punching Accuracy

63.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.340

66.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

64.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.310

64.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.370

Pace Pressure

67.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.390

67.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.490

Defensive Skill

62.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.330

58.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

65.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.350

67.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.450

Ring IQ Adaptability

66.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.380

68.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.510

Counter Punching

58.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.270

61.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.340

Chin

71.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.400

52.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

72.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.460

72.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Tapia: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Acevedo: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Tapia Confidence Very Low 0.240

14.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.330

Out-Boxer

22.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.280

31.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.670

Power Slugger

12.0 Tapia Confidence Very Low 0.180

12.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Tapia Confidence Low 0.340

35.0 Acevedo Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter-Puncher

18.0 Tapia Confidence Very Low 0.220

8.0 Acevedo Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Tapia vs orthodox · Acevedo vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Tapia Confidence Medium 0.580

68.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.430

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Tapia Confidence Medium 0.580

32.0 Acevedo Confidence Low 0.430

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

0 Tapia

100 Acevedo

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Tapia

33.33 Acevedo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

50 Tapia

66.67 Acevedo

Opponent Rating Last 3

64.19 Tapia

63.33 Acevedo

Trend Score Last 5

25 Tapia

85 Acevedo

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Tapia

100 Acevedo

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Tapia

33.33 Acevedo

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

50 Tapia

66.67 Acevedo

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

64.19 Tapia

63.33 Acevedo

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

25 Tapia

92.5 Acevedo

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Tapia stays in class.

Acevedo stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Tapia height: 183.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Acevedo height: 182.0cm reach: 185.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Tapia.

Advantage: Tapia +1.0cm

Stance Interaction

Tapia vs orthodox: 62.0

Acevedo vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Acevedo.

Advantage: Acevedo

Style Interaction

Tapia style: Boxer Puncher

Acevedo style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral