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Heaney vs Warburton 26 Sep 2026 Model pick: Heaney Locked prediction 64.73% ROI: 107.14% Middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Nathan Heaney 64.73%

Heaney odds 3.2000

Warburton odds 1.3226

Heaney implied 31.25%

Warburton implied 75.61%

Market odds 3.2

Implied probability 31.25%

Expected return 2.0714

ROI 107.14%

Edge 33.48%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-14 09:16:30 UTC

Fighter details
NH
Nathan Heaney

Score 56.56 · 18-1-1 (6 KO)

Full name Nathan Heaney

Age 37 · Rank #571 · Confidence Medium 0.609

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · GB

GW
Gerome Warburton

Score 52.04 · 17-2-2 (2 KO)

Full name Gerome Warburton

Age 31 · Rank #656 · Confidence Medium 0.551

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 182cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

58.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.720

38.0 Warburton Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

67.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.580

61.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

61.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.450

59.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.360

Pace Pressure

73.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.680

57.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.420

Defensive Skill

59.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.640

60.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.480

Distance Footwork Control

64.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.560

64.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.520

Ring IQ Adaptability

70.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

60.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.430

63.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.440

Chin

57.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.690

52.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

74.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.730

68.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Heaney: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher  vs  Warburton: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.430

Out-Boxer

32.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.670

44.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.730

Power Slugger

8.0 Heaney Confidence High 0.780

4.0 Warburton Confidence High 0.870

Boxer-Puncher

30.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.610

22.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Heaney Confidence Low 0.380

12.0 Warburton Confidence Low 0.340

Stance Interaction Heaney vs southpaw  ·  Warburton vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.660

68.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.580

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Heaney Confidence Medium 0.660

32.0 Warburton Confidence Medium 0.580

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Heaney

66.67 Warburton

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Heaney

0 Warburton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Heaney

33.33 Warburton

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.14 Heaney

62.09 Warburton

Trend Score Last 5

50 Heaney

73.75 Warburton

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

61.11 Heaney

75 Warburton

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

0 Heaney

5.56 Warburton

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Heaney

33.33 Warburton

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.14 Heaney

62.09 Warburton

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75 Heaney

86.87 Warburton

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Heaney stays in class.

Warburton stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Heaney height: 185.0cm reach: 188.0cm

Warburton height: 175.0cm reach: 182.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Heaney.

Advantage: Heaney +16.0cm

Stance Interaction

Heaney vs southpaw: 32.0

Warburton vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Warburton.

Advantage: Warburton

Style Interaction

Heaney style: Out Boxer

Warburton style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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