OWN YOUR EDGE
Espinoza vs Davis 04 Jul 2026 Model pick: Davis Locked prediction 74.24% ROI: -22.05% Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
Change fighters and profiles

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Deric Davis 74.24%

Espinoza odds 10.0000

Davis odds 1.0500

Espinoza implied 10.00%

Davis implied 95.24%

Market odds 1.05

Implied probability 95.24%

Expected return 0.7795

ROI -22.05%

Edge -21.00%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-02 13:04:47 UTC

Fighter details
CE
Carlos Espinoza

Score 50.16 · 2-4-0 (2 KO)

Full name Carlos Javier Ramos Espinoza

Age 30 · Rank #596 · Confidence Low 0.458

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 173cm · ES

DD
Deric Davis

Score 61.40 · 11-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Deric Davis

Age 23 · Rank #336 · Confidence Low 0.432

Stance N/A · H/R 175cm / 175cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

66.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.700

84.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

58.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.380

72.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.480

Hand Speed

61.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.350

74.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

60.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.400

76.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.550

Defensive Skill

54.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.450

63.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.310

Distance Footwork Control

57.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.400

65.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.310

Ring Iq Adaptability

59.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.420

69.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.460

Counter Punching

62.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.400

64.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.270

Chin

49.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.500

66.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.250

Cardio Engine

63.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.480

71.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Espinoza: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Davis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.300

18.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.360

Out Boxer

28.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.520

12.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.300

Power Slugger

16.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.480

42.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.680

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.630

22.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.420

Counter Puncher

8.0 Espinoza Confidence Very Low 0.220

6.0 Davis Confidence Very Low 0.220

Stance Interaction Espinoza vs unknown stance  ·  Davis vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.580

61.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.540

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.580

39.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.540

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Espinoza

100 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Espinoza

66.67 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Espinoza

100 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.07 Espinoza

42.67 Davis

Trend Score Last 5

50 Espinoza

100 Davis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

54.17 Espinoza

100 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

12.5 Espinoza

83.33 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Espinoza

100 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.07 Espinoza

42.67 Davis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

75 Espinoza

100 Davis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Espinoza stays in class.

Davis stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Espinoza height: 165.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Davis height: 175.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Davis.

Advantage: Davis +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Espinoza vs unknown stance: N/A

Davis vs southpaw: 39.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Espinoza style: Boxer Puncher

Davis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Espinoza.

Advantage: Espinoza

Model: FiteQuant

Explore models · Login