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Espinoza vs Davis 04 Jul 2026 Result: Davis Time-safe result Pick 74.24% Prediction: Correct Lightweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Deric Davis (U D)

Pre-fight pick Deric Davis 74.24%

Prediction result Correct

Espinoza odds 10.0000

Davis odds 1.0500

Espinoza implied 10.00%

Davis implied 95.24%

Pre-fight odds 1.05

Pre-fight implied 95.24%

Expected return 0.7795

ROI -22.05%

Edge -21.00%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-07-02 13:04:47 UTC

Fighter details
CE
Carlos Espinoza

Score 51.72 · 18-4-1 (10 KO)

Full name Carlos Javier Ramos Espinoza

Age 30 · Rank #566 · Confidence Low 0.468

Stance Southpaw · H/R 165cm / 173cm · ES

DD
Deric Davis

Score 64.36 · 12-0-0 (10 KO)

Full name Deric Davis

Age 24 · Rank #237 · Confidence Low 0.498

Stance Orthodox · H/R 175cm / 175cm · US

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

68.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.670

84.0 Davis Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

61.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.460

74.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.570

Hand Speed

59.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.350

77.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

64.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.520

72.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

55.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.480

68.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.430

Distance Footwork Control

57.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.430

70.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.450

Ring Iq Adaptability

60.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.500

73.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

58.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.360

66.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.390

Chin

56.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.530

64.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.300

Cardio Engine

62.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.500

71.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.580

Style Profile Espinoza: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Davis: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.340

18.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

17.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.380

16.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

20.0 Espinoza Confidence Low 0.460

32.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

33.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.580

27.0 Davis Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

12.0 Espinoza Confidence Very Low 0.230

7.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Interaction Espinoza vs orthodox  ·  Davis vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

64.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.580

63.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.380

Vs Southpaw

36.0 Espinoza Confidence Medium 0.580

37.0 Davis Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

33.33 Espinoza

100 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Espinoza

0 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Espinoza

100 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.4 Espinoza

66.27 Davis

Trend Score Last 5

30 Espinoza

100 Davis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

57.14 Espinoza

100 Davis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

23.81 Espinoza

50 Davis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Espinoza

100 Davis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.4 Espinoza

66.27 Davis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

65 Espinoza

100 Davis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Espinoza stays in class.

Davis stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Espinoza height: 165.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Davis height: 175.0cm reach: 175.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Davis.

Advantage: Davis +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Espinoza vs orthodox: 64.0

Davis vs southpaw: 37.0

Interaction: medium advantage Espinoza.

Advantage: Espinoza

Style Interaction

Espinoza style: Boxer Puncher

Davis style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Espinoza.

Advantage: Espinoza

Model: FiteQuant

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