Oleksandr Usyk vs Anthony Joshua

Data as of: 2026-05-14 00:36:19 UTC Historical As-of 2022-08-20

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Joshua 20 Aug 2022 Result: Usyk Historical Pick 81.86% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (S D)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 81.86%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.5000

Joshua odds 2.9800

Usyk implied 66.67%

Joshua implied 33.56%

Pick odds 1.5

Pick implied 66.67%

Expected return 1.2278

ROI 22.78%

Edge 15.19%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:51 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 84.46 · 24-0-0 (15 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Anthony Joshua

Score 64.95 · 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Full name Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua

Age 36 · Rank #196 · Confidence High 0.752

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · GB

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 84.46
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (15 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

20 Aug 2022

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Historical

82% Usyk

18% Joshua

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (S D)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 81.86%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 81.86%
Market odds: 1.5
Implied probability: 66.67%
Expected ROI (1u): 22.78%
Value edge: 15.19%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:51 UTC

Anthony Joshua

Full name: Anthony Oluwafemi Olaseni Joshua
Age: 36
Fighter rank: #196
Current model score: 64.95
Fighter confidence: High 0.752
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 198cm / 208cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 29-4-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

86.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.900

Punching Accuracy

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

76.4 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

71.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.770

58.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.860

66.2 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

71.6 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

69.1 Joshua Confidence High 0.770

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

73.5 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.710

Chin

83.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.640

61.8 Joshua Confidence High 0.800

Cardio Engine

93.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

57.2 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.740

Style Profile Usyk: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Joshua: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.650

10.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.620

Out Boxer

38.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

22.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.780

Power Slugger

6.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

28.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.860

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

34.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.840

Counter Puncher

14.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.700

6.0 Joshua Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Joshua Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.810

68.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Usyk Confidence Low 0.430

32.0 Joshua Confidence High 0.760

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Usyk

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.35 Usyk

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

80 Joshua

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

78.33 Joshua

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Usyk

73.33 Joshua

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Usyk

33.33 Joshua

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.35 Usyk

55.42 Joshua

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

80 Joshua

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Joshua stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Usyk reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Joshua reach: 208.0cm height: 198.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Joshua.

Advantage: Joshua

Stance Interaction

Usyk advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Joshua advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Out Boxer

Joshua style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral