Oleksandr Usyk vs Tyson Fury

Data as of: 2026-06-01 14:35:20 UTC Historical As-of 2024-12-21

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Fury 21 Dec 2024 Result: Usyk Historical Pick 53.36% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (U D)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 53.36%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.8333

Fury odds 2.2200

Usyk implied 54.55%

Fury implied 45.05%

Pick odds 1.8333

Pick implied 54.55%

Expected return 0.9782

ROI -2.18%

Edge -1.19%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:10:47 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 85.63 · 25-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #1 · Confidence High 0.819

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Tyson Fury

Score 73.39 · 35-2-1 (24 KO)

Full name Tyson Luke Fury

Age 37 · Rank #63 · Confidence High 0.779

Stance Orthodox · H/R 206cm / 216cm · GB

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 85.63
Fighter confidence: High 0.819
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

21 Dec 2024

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Historical

53% Usyk

47% Fury

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (U D)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 53.36%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 53.36%
Market odds: 1.8333
Implied probability: 54.55%
Expected ROI (1u): -2.18%
Value edge: -1.19%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:10:47 UTC

Tyson Fury

Full name: Tyson Luke Fury
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #63
Current model score: 73.39
Fighter confidence: High 0.779
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 206cm / 216cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 35-2-1 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

84.0 Fury Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

78.0 Fury Confidence High 0.780

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

74.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.740

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

76.0 Fury Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

75.0 Fury Confidence High 0.800

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.920

80.0 Fury Confidence High 0.810

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.930

84.0 Fury Confidence High 0.840

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

79.0 Fury Confidence High 0.770

Chin

85.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.720

83.0 Fury Confidence High 0.820

Cardio Engine

94.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

77.0 Fury Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Usyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Fury: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.630

16.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Out Boxer

34.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

33.0 Fury Confidence High 0.880

Power Slugger

7.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.730

8.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.710

Boxer Puncher

39.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

31.0 Fury Confidence High 0.870

Counter Puncher

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.680

12.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.690

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Fury Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

62.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.790

38.0 Fury Confidence Medium 0.730

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

33.33 Fury

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

0 Fury

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Usyk

33.33 Fury

Opponent Rating Last 3

61.96 Usyk

85.91 Fury

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

60 Fury

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

65.24 Fury

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

34.29 Fury

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Usyk

33.33 Fury

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

61.96 Usyk

85.91 Fury

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

80 Fury

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Fury stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Fury height: 206.0cm reach: 216.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Fury.

Advantage: Fury +33.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 68.0

Fury vs southpaw: 38.0

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Boxer Puncher

Fury style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral