Oleksandr Usyk vs Daniel Dubois

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2025-07-19

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Dubois 19 Jul 2025 Result: Usyk Historical Pick 89.21% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (KO)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 89.21%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.2941

Dubois odds 4.2000

Usyk implied 77.27%

Dubois implied 23.81%

Pick odds 1.2941

Pick implied 77.27%

Expected return 1.1544

ROI 15.44%

Edge 11.93%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:19:55 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 84.72 · 24-0-0 (15 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Daniel Dubois

Score 65.52 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Daniel Dubois

Age 28 · Rank #193 · Confidence Medium 0.662

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 84.72
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (15 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

19 Jul 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Historical

89% Usyk

11% Dubois

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (KO)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 89.21%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 89.21%
Market odds: 1.2941
Implied probability: 77.27%
Expected ROI (1u): 15.44%
Value edge: 11.93%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:19:55 UTC

Daniel Dubois

Full name: Daniel Dubois
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #193
Current model score: 65.52
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.662
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

94.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.910

Punching Accuracy

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

74.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.640

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.770

78.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.860

61.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.680

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

64.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

69.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

66.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.500

Chin

83.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.640

58.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

93.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

70.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Usyk: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Dubois: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.650

20.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

Out Boxer

38.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

5.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

6.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

48.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.920

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

22.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Puncher

14.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.700

5.0 Dubois Confidence Low 0.450

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Dubois Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.810

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Usyk Confidence Low 0.430

28.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.35 Usyk

84.51 Dubois

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

80 Dubois

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

78.99 Dubois

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Usyk

76.81 Dubois

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Dubois

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.35 Usyk

84.51 Dubois

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

80 Dubois

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk stays in class.

Dubois stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Usyk reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Dubois reach: 198.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Stance Interaction

Usyk advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Dubois advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Out Boxer

Dubois style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk