Oleksandr Usyk vs Murat Gassiev

Data as of: 2026-05-14 01:13:22 UTC Historical As-of 2018-07-21

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Gassiev 21 Jul 2018 Result: Usyk Historical Pick 77.66% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (U D)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 77.66%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.9091

Gassiev odds 1.9524

Usyk implied 52.38%

Gassiev implied 51.22%

Pick odds 1.9091

Pick implied 52.38%

Expected return 1.4827

ROI 48.27%

Edge 25.28%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:26:05 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 84.94 · 24-0-0 (15 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Murat Gassiev

Score 72.57 · 33-2-0 (26 KO)

Full name Murat Georgievich Gassiev

Age 32 · Rank #65 · Confidence Medium 0.660

Stance Orthodox · H/R 189cm / 193cm · RU

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 84.94
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (15 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

21 Jul 2018

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Historical

78% Usyk

22% Gassiev

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (U D)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 77.66%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 77.66%
Market odds: 1.9091
Implied probability: 52.38%
Expected ROI (1u): 48.27%
Value edge: 25.28%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:26:05 UTC

Murat Gassiev

Full name: Murat Georgievich Gassiev
Age: 32
Fighter rank: #65
Current model score: 72.57
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.660
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 189cm / 193cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 33-2-0 (26 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

93.5 Gassiev Confidence High 0.840

Punching Accuracy

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

82.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.650

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

75.3 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.770

80.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.860

78.1 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

71.2 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

72.6 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.620

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

81.5 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

83.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.640

90.8 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

93.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

70.9 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.640

Style Profile Usyk: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Gassiev: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.650

18.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

38.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

6.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.740

Power Slugger

6.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

41.0 Gassiev Confidence High 0.880

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

28.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

14.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.700

7.0 Gassiev Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Gassiev Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.810

42.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Usyk Confidence Low 0.430

58.0 Gassiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Gassiev

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.35 Usyk

49.33 Gassiev

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

85 Gassiev

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Usyk

100 Gassiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Usyk

66.67 Gassiev

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.35 Usyk

49.53 Gassiev

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

85 Gassiev

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk moves down 2 classes.

Gassiev moves down 2 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Usyk reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Gassiev reach: 193.0cm height: 189.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Stance Interaction

Usyk advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Gassiev advantage against southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Out Boxer

Gassiev style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk