Oleksandr Usyk vs Mairis Briedis

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2018-01-27

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Usyk vs Briedis 27 Jan 2018 Result: Usyk Historical Pick 80.98% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Oleksandr Usyk (Majority Decision)

Model pick Oleksandr Usyk 80.98%

Prediction result Correct

Usyk odds 1.2273

Briedis odds 4.5000

Usyk implied 81.48%

Briedis implied 22.22%

Pick odds 1.2273

Pick implied 81.48%

Expected return 0.9939

ROI -0.61%

Edge -0.50%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:26:36 UTC

Fighter details

Oleksandr Usyk

Score 85.06 · 24-0-0 (15 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk

Age 39 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.774

Stance Southpaw · H/R 191cm / 198cm · UA

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

Mairis Briedis

Score 71.29 · 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Full name Mairis Briedis

Age 41 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.666

Stance Orthodox · H/R 186cm / 190cm · N/A

Oleksandr Usyk

Full name: Oleksandr Oleksandrovych Usyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 85.06
Fighter confidence: High 0.774
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 191cm / 198cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 24-0-0 (15 KO)

World titles

The Ring Heavyweight WBA Heavyweight WBC Heavyweight IBF Heavyweight

27 Jan 2018

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Usyk

Historical

81% Usyk

19% Briedis

Fight result: Oleksandr Usyk (Majority Decision)
Model pick: Oleksandr Usyk 80.98%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 80.98%
Market odds: 1.2273
Implied probability: 81.48%
Expected ROI (1u): -0.61%
Value edge: -0.50%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:26:36 UTC

Mairis Briedis

Full name: Mairis Briedis
Age: 41
Fighter rank: #2
Current model score: 71.29
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.666
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 186cm / 190cm
Nationality: N/A
Career snapshot: 28-3-0 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

78.5 Briedis Confidence High 0.810

Punching Accuracy

91.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

68.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.650

Hand Speed

88.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.800

66.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

86.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.770

54.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

92.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.860

86.8 Briedis Confidence High 0.780

Distance Footwork Control

95.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.890

78.5 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.710

Ring Iq Adaptability

96.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.900

84.9 Briedis Confidence High 0.800

Counter Punching

90.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

85.8 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.720

Chin

83.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.640

91.2 Briedis Confidence High 0.790

Cardio Engine

93.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.870

74.6 Briedis Confidence High 0.760

Style Profile Usyk: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Briedis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.650

15.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

38.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.840

18.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

6.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.760

24.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.820

31.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.730

Counter Puncher

14.0 Usyk Confidence Medium 0.700

12.0 Briedis Confidence Low 0.370

Stance Advantage Usyk Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Briedis Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Usyk Confidence High 0.810

42.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Usyk Confidence Low 0.430

58.0 Briedis Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Usyk

33.33 Briedis

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Usyk

0 Briedis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Usyk

0 Briedis

Opponent Rating Last 3

80.35 Usyk

73.02 Briedis

Trend Score Last 5

100 Usyk

60 Briedis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Usyk

64.88 Briedis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

50 Usyk

0 Briedis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Usyk

0 Briedis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

80.35 Usyk

73.02 Briedis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Usyk

70 Briedis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Usyk moves down 2 classes.

Briedis stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Briedis.

Advantage: Briedis

Height Reach Delta

Usyk height: 191.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Briedis height: 186.0cm reach: 190.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk +13.0cm

Stance Interaction

Usyk vs orthodox: 72.0

Briedis vs southpaw: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Usyk.

Advantage: Usyk (Usyk +14.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Usyk style: Out Boxer

Briedis style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral