Naoya Inoue vs Stephen Fulton

Data as of: 2026-04-20 04:00:06 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Inoue vs Fulton 25 Jul 2023 Winner: Inoue Custom 52.80% ROI: -32.11% Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.2857

Fulton odds 4.2000

Inoue implied 77.78%

Fulton implied 23.81%

Pick odds 1.2857

Pick implied 77.78%

Expected return 0.6789

ROI -32.11%

Edge -24.97%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 12:59:43 UTC

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.95 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Stephen Fulton

Score 74.89 · 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #52 · Confidence Medium 0.700

Stance Orthodox · H/R 169cm / 179cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 82.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

25 Jul 2023

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

Custom

53% Inoue

47% Fulton

Win probability: 52.80%
Market odds: 1.2857
Implied probability: 77.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -32.11%
Value edge: -24.97%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 12:59:43 UTC

Stephen Fulton

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #52
Current model score: 74.89
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.700
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 169cm / 179cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-2-0 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.940

45.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.750

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

86.3 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.690

Hand Speed

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.840

89.2 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Pace Pressure

87.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

72.6 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

92.3 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

90.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.780

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Counter Punching

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

89.7 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.680

Chin

86.7 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

70.9 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

87.9 Fulton Confidence High 0.770

Style Profile Inoue: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Fulton: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

12.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.580

Out Boxer

8.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.500

39.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.760

Power Slugger

28.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

5.0 Fulton Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

29.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

10.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

15.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.560

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Fulton Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

64.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

36.0 Fulton Confidence Medium 0.720