Naoya Inoue vs Emmanuel Rodríguez

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Inoue vs Rodríguez 18 May 2019 Winner: Inoue 72.89% ROI: -7.93% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.2632

Rodríguez odds 7.0000

Inoue implied 79.16%

Rodríguez implied 14.29%

Pick odds 1.2632

Pick implied 79.16%

Expected return 0.9207

ROI -7.93%

Edge -6.28%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 13:07:46 UTC

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.95 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Emmanuel Rodríguez

Score 71.88 · 23-3-0 (13 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #76 · Confidence Medium 0.631

Stance N/A · H/R 168cm / 169cm · PR

Naoya Inoue

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 82.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

18 May 2019

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

73% Inoue

27% Rodríguez

Win probability: 72.89%
Market odds: 1.2632
Implied probability: 79.16%
Expected ROI (1u): -7.93%
Value edge: -6.28%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 13:07:46 UTC

Emmanuel Rodríguez

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #76
Current model score: 71.88
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.631
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 168cm / 169cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.940

66.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

81.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.840

80.9 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

87.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

69.6 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.640

Defensive Skill

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

84.1 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.690

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

83.5 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

85.4 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Punching

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

81.6 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.600

Chin

86.7 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

69.1 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

82.5 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.730

Style Profile Inoue: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Rodríguez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

12.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.340

Out Boxer

8.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.500

28.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.640

Power Slugger

28.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

14.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

36.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.740

Counter Puncher

10.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

10.0 Rodríguez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Rodríguez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

72.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

28.0 Rodríguez Confidence Medium 0.670