Naoya Inoue vs Nonito Donaire

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Inoue vs Donaire 07 Jun 2022 Winner: Inoue 88.97% ROI: 6.77% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.2000

Donaire odds 5.7000

Inoue implied 83.33%

Donaire implied 17.54%

Pick odds 1.2

Pick implied 83.33%

Expected return 1.0677

ROI 6.77%

Edge 5.64%

Lean Value

2026-04-10 13:02:08 UTC

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.95 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Nonito Donaire

Score 50.36 · 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Age 43 · Rank #349 · Confidence Medium 0.719

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 173cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 82.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

07 Jun 2022

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

89% Inoue

11% Donaire

Win probability: 88.97%
Market odds: 1.2
Implied probability: 83.33%
Expected ROI (1u): 6.77%
Value edge: 5.64%
Lean assessment: Value

2026-04-10 13:02:08 UTC

Nonito Donaire

Age: 43
Fighter rank: #349
Current model score: 50.36
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.719
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 43-10-0 (28 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.940

58.3 Donaire Confidence High 0.820

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

53.8 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.840

52.0 Donaire Confidence High 0.760

Pace Pressure

87.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

40.7 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

47.6 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

45.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.700

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

69.7 Donaire Confidence High 0.800

Counter Punching

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

80.3 Donaire Confidence High 0.810

Chin

86.7 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

44.8 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.690

Cardio Engine

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

42.7 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Inoue: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Donaire: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

8.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.560

Out Boxer

8.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.500

14.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

28.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

27.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

31.0 Donaire Confidence High 0.780

Counter Puncher

10.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

20.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.690

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Donaire Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

42.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

58.0 Donaire Confidence Medium 0.680