Naoya Inoue vs Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Data as of: 2026-04-18 10:19:17 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super bantamweight.

Inoue vs Akhmadaliev 14 Sep 2025 Winner: Inoue 61.26% ROI: -31.08% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super bantamweight.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.1250

Akhmadaliev odds 8.0000

Inoue implied 88.89%

Akhmadaliev implied 12.50%

Pick odds 1.125

Pick implied 88.89%

Expected return 0.6892

ROI -31.08%

Edge -27.63%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 12:54:28 UTC

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.95 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Score 73.71 · 14-2-0 (11 KO)

Age 31 · Rank #62 · Confidence Medium 0.649

Stance Southpaw · H/R 166cm / 173cm · UZ

Naoya Inoue

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 82.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

14 Sep 2025

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

61% Inoue

39% Akhmadaliev

Win probability: 61.26%
Market odds: 1.125
Implied probability: 88.89%
Expected ROI (1u): -31.08%
Value edge: -27.63%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 12:54:28 UTC

Murodjon Akhmadaliev

Age: 31
Fighter rank: #62
Current model score: 73.71
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.649
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 166cm / 173cm
Nationality: UZ
Career snapshot: 14-2-0 (11 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.940

75.2 Akhmadaliev Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

82.2 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680

Hand Speed

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.840

86.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.660

Pace Pressure

87.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

77.9 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.670

Defensive Skill

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

80.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

83.6 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.670

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

81.7 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Punching

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

85.4 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

86.7 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

84.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

77.3 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Inoue: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Akhmadaliev: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.570

Out Boxer

8.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.500

10.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Low 0.480

Power Slugger

28.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

24.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

34.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence High 0.790

Counter Puncher

10.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

14.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Low 0.430

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Akhmadaliev Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

62.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

38.0 Akhmadaliev Confidence Medium 0.680