Naoya Inoue vs Ramon Cardenas

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super bantamweight.

Inoue vs Cardenas 04 May 2025 Winner: Inoue 77.47% ROI: -19.95% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Super bantamweight.

Bout details

Inoue odds 1.0333

Cardenas odds 17.0000

Inoue implied 96.78%

Cardenas implied 5.88%

Pick odds 1.0333

Pick implied 96.78%

Expected return 0.8005

ROI -19.95%

Edge -19.31%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 12:55:32 UTC

Fighter details

Naoya Inoue

Score 82.95 · 32-0-0 (27 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #8 · Confidence Medium 0.744

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 171cm · JP

Ramon Cardenas

Score 58.77 · 27-2-0 (15 KO)

Age 30 · Rank #281 · Confidence Medium 0.505

Stance Orthodox · H/R 165cm / 170cm · US

Naoya Inoue

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 82.95
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.744
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 171cm
Nationality: JP
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (27 KO)

04 May 2025

Projected Win Split

Winner

Inoue

77% Inoue

23% Cardenas

Win probability: 77.47%
Market odds: 1.0333
Implied probability: 96.78%
Expected ROI (1u): -19.95%
Value edge: -19.31%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 12:55:32 UTC

Ramon Cardenas

Age: 30
Fighter rank: #281
Current model score: 58.77
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.505
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 165cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-2-0 (15 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.940

70.0 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.850

68.1 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

88.8 Inoue Confidence High 0.840

71.3 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.420

Pace Pressure

87.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.800

77.2 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.720

67.0 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.470

Distance Footwork Control

87.3 Inoue Confidence High 0.770

67.3 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.400

Ring Iq Adaptability

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

64.8 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.490

Counter Punching

88.6 Inoue Confidence High 0.830

70.1 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.360

Chin

86.7 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

64.4 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.440

Cardio Engine

87.1 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.740

66.1 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.610

Style Profile Inoue: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Cardenas: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.620

18.0 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

8.0 Inoue Confidence Medium 0.500

12.0 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

28.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.820

20.0 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.520

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.790

38.0 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

10.0 Inoue Confidence Low 0.460

12.0 Cardenas Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Inoue Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Cardenas Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

64.0 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Inoue Confidence High 0.760

36.0 Cardenas Confidence Medium 0.590