Jesse Rodriguez vs Phumelele Cafu

Data as of: 2026-06-13 01:18:23 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Rodriguez vs Cafu Model lean: Rodriguez Custom 84.19% ROI: N/A Super flyweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Jesse Rodriguez 84.19%

Rodriguez odds N/A

Cafu odds N/A

Rodriguez implied N/A

Cafu implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Jesse Rodriguez

Score 80.10 · 23-0-0 (16 KO)

Full name Jesse James Rodriguez Franco

Age 26 · Rank #6 · Confidence Medium 0.691

Stance Southpaw · H/R 163cm / 170cm · US

The Ring Super flyweight WBA Super flyweight WBC Super flyweight WBO Super flyweight

Phumelele Cafu

Score 59.02 · 11-1-3 (8 KO)

Full name Phumelele Cafu

Age 27 · Rank #382 · Confidence Medium 0.534

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 163cm · ZA

Jesse Rodriguez

Full name: Jesse James Rodriguez Franco
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #6
Current model score: 80.10
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.691
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 163cm / 170cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-0-0 (16 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super flyweight WBA Super flyweight WBC Super flyweight WBO Super flyweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Rodriguez

Custom

84% Rodriguez

16% Cafu

Model lean: Jesse Rodriguez 84.19%
Win probability: 84.19%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Phumelele Cafu

Full name: Phumelele Cafu
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #382
Current model score: 59.02
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.534
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 163cm
Nationality: ZA
Career snapshot: 11-1-3 (8 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.800

75.2 Cafu Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.760

54.4 Cafu Confidence Low 0.460

Hand Speed

90.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.720

66.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.440

Pace Pressure

85.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.740

69.1 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.570

Defensive Skill

84.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.700

66.1 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

87.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.730

65.2 Cafu Confidence Low 0.470

Ring Iq Adaptability

91.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.790

69.8 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

86.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.680

64.9 Cafu Confidence Low 0.390

Chin

81.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.560

65.3 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

86.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.720

70.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Rodriguez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Cafu: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.580

18.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.490

Out Boxer

12.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.560

14.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

16.0 Rodriguez Confidence Medium 0.630

24.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.610

Boxer Puncher

42.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.780

32.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

12.0 Rodriguez Confidence Low 0.450

12.0 Cafu Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Rodriguez vs orthodox · Cafu vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.770

58.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Rodriguez Confidence High 0.770

42.0 Cafu Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Rodriguez

66.67 Cafu

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Rodriguez

33.33 Cafu

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Rodriguez

33.33 Cafu

Opponent Rating Last 3

66.29 Rodriguez

71 Cafu

Trend Score Last 5

100 Rodriguez

80 Cafu

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Rodriguez

70.83 Cafu

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Rodriguez

45.83 Cafu

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Rodriguez

33.33 Cafu

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

66.29 Rodriguez

71 Cafu

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Rodriguez

85.63 Cafu

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Rodriguez stays in class.

Cafu stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Rodriguez height: 163.0cm reach: 170.0cm

Cafu height: 168.0cm reach: 163.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Rodriguez.

Advantage: Rodriguez +2.0cm

Stance Interaction

Rodriguez vs orthodox: 68.0

Cafu vs southpaw: 42.0

Interaction: medium advantage Rodriguez.

Advantage: Rodriguez

Style Interaction

Rodriguez style: Boxer Puncher

Cafu style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral