Dmitrii Bivol vs Artur Beterbiev

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2025-02-22

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bivol vs Beterbiev 22 Feb 2025 Result: Bivol Historical Pick 55.32% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Dmitry Bivol (M D)

Model pick Dmitrii Bivol 55.32%

Prediction result Correct

Bivol odds 2.1000

Beterbiev odds 1.9524

Bivol implied 47.62%

Beterbiev implied 51.22%

Pick odds 2.1

Pick implied 47.62%

Expected return 1.1617

ROI 16.17%

Edge 7.70%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:24 UTC

Fighter details

Dmitrii Bivol

Score 81.37 · 24-1-0 (12 KO)

Full name Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol

Age 35 · Rank #8 · Confidence High 0.805

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · RU

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

Artur Beterbiev

Score 78.61 · 21-1-0 (20 KO)

Full name Artur Asilbekovich Beterbiev

Age 41 · Rank #25 · Confidence Medium 0.709

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 185cm · RU

Dmitrii Bivol

Full name: Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 81.37
Fighter confidence: High 0.805
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 24-1-0 (12 KO)

World titles

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

22 Feb 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Bivol

Historical

55% Bivol

45% Beterbiev

Fight result: Dmitry Bivol (M D)
Model pick: Dmitrii Bivol 55.32%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 55.32%
Market odds: 2.1
Implied probability: 47.62%
Expected ROI (1u): 16.17%
Value edge: 7.70%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:20:24 UTC

Artur Beterbiev

Full name: Artur Asilbekovich Beterbiev
Age: 41
Fighter rank: #25
Current model score: 78.61
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.709
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 182cm / 185cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 21-1-0 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.790

84.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.970

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.850

88.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.740

Hand Speed

84.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.800

74.4 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

74.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

89.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.820

Defensive Skill

91.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.880

84.3 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

92.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.890

78.2 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.610

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.880

87.9 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

Counter Punching

87.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.820

86.5 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.640

Chin

86.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.770

93.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

89.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.850

83.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Bivol: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Beterbiev: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

Out Boxer

41.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.900

4.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.630

Power Slugger

7.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.820

41.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.880

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.870

18.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

13.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.760

3.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.550

Stance Advantage Bivol Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Beterbiev Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Bivol

66.67 Beterbiev

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Bivol

33.33 Beterbiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Bivol

0 Beterbiev

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.06 Bivol

79.36 Beterbiev

Trend Score Last 5

80 Bivol

80 Beterbiev

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Bivol

83.33 Beterbiev

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Bivol

66.67 Beterbiev

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Bivol

0 Beterbiev

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.06 Bivol

79.36 Beterbiev

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Bivol

90 Beterbiev

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bivol moves up 3 classes.

Beterbiev moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Bivol reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Beterbiev reach: 185.0cm height: 182.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Beterbiev.

Advantage: Beterbiev

Stance Interaction

Bivol advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Beterbiev advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Bivol style: Out Boxer

Beterbiev style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Bivol.

Advantage: Bivol