Dmitry Bivol vs Joe Smith

Data as of: 2026-04-18 10:19:17 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Bivol vs Jr. Winner: Bivol 76.05% ROI: N/A Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Bout details

Bivol odds N/A

Jr. odds N/A

Bivol implied N/A

Jr. implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Dmitry Bivol

Score 83.87 · 24-1-0 (12 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.741

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · RU

Joe Smith Jr.

Score 57.81 · 28-5-0 (22 KO)

Age 36 · Rank #293 · Confidence Medium 0.616

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 193cm · US

Dmitry Bivol

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 83.87
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.741
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 24-1-0 (12 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Bivol

76% Bivol

24% Smith Jr.

Win probability: 76.05%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Joe Smith Jr.

Age: 36
Fighter rank: #293
Current model score: 57.81
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.616
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 193cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 28-5-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

79.4 Bivol Confidence High 0.780

87.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Bivol Confidence High 0.840

66.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

92.1 Bivol Confidence High 0.790

61.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.470

Pace Pressure

79.7 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

92.3 Bivol Confidence High 0.870

54.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Bivol Confidence High 0.870

56.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Bivol Confidence High 0.860

60.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

Counter Punching

92.1 Bivol Confidence High 0.820

58.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.460

Chin

93.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.740

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

87.9 Bivol Confidence High 0.810

67.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Bivol: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Jr.: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.520

20.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Out Boxer

44.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.760

8.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Power Slugger

10.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.630

44.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.810

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

22.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Puncher

8.0 Bivol Confidence Low 0.420

6.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.490

Stance Advantage Bivol Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Jr. Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

32.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

0 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.25 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

72.28 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

80 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

60 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

61.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

51.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

0 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.25 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

72.28 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Bivol Confidence High 1.000

60 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bivol stays in class.

Jr. stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Bivol reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Jr. reach: 193.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Stance Interaction

Bivol advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Style Interaction

Bivol style: Out Boxer

Jr. style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Bivol.

Advantage: Bivol