Dmitrii Bivol vs Gilberto Sánchez

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2022-11-05

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bivol vs Sánchez 05 Nov 2022 Result: Bivol Historical Pick 63.99% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Dmitry Bivol (U D)

Model pick Dmitrii Bivol 63.99%

Prediction result Correct

Bivol odds 1.3003

Sánchez odds 4.3000

Bivol implied 76.91%

Sánchez implied 23.26%

Pick odds 1.3003

Pick implied 76.91%

Expected return 0.8321

ROI -16.79%

Edge -12.92%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:37 UTC

Fighter details

Dmitrii Bivol

Score 81.86 · 24-1-0 (12 KO)

Full name Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol

Age 35 · Rank #8 · Confidence High 0.805

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · RU

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

Gilberto Sánchez

Score 66.89 · 48-3-0 (30 KO)

Full name Gilberto Ramírez Sánchez

Age 34 · Rank #183 · Confidence Medium 0.644

Stance Southpaw · H/R 189cm / 191cm · MX

WBA Cruiserweight WBO Cruiserweight

Dmitrii Bivol

Full name: Dmitry Yuryevich Bivol
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #8
Current model score: 81.86
Fighter confidence: High 0.805
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 24-1-0 (12 KO)

World titles

The Ring Light heavyweight WBA Light heavyweight IBF Light heavyweight WBO Light heavyweight

05 Nov 2022

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Bivol

Historical

64% Bivol

36% Sánchez

Fight result: Dmitry Bivol (U D)
Model pick: Dmitrii Bivol 63.99%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 63.99%
Market odds: 1.3003
Implied probability: 76.91%
Expected ROI (1u): -16.79%
Value edge: -12.92%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:37 UTC

Gilberto Sánchez

Full name: Gilberto Ramírez Sánchez
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #183
Current model score: 66.89
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.644
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 189cm / 191cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 48-3-0 (30 KO)

World titles

WBA Cruiserweight WBO Cruiserweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

78.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.790

80.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.850

74.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

84.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.800

70.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

74.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

78.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.730

Defensive Skill

91.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.880

64.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

92.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.890

68.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.880

72.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

87.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.820

69.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.580

Chin

86.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.770

61.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

89.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.850

82.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.780

Style Profile Bivol: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Sánchez: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.720

14.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.530

Out Boxer

41.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.900

33.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

7.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.820

11.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.580

Boxer Puncher

31.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.870

34.0 Sánchez Confidence High 0.780

Counter Puncher

13.0 Bivol Confidence High 0.760

8.0 Sánchez Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Advantage Bivol Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Sánchez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Sánchez Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Bivol Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Sánchez Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Bivol

66.67 Sánchez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Bivol

0 Sánchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Bivol

66.67 Sánchez

Opponent Rating Last 3

73.06 Bivol

81.97 Sánchez

Trend Score Last 5

80 Bivol

80 Sánchez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Bivol

82.27 Sánchez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

41.67 Bivol

31.91 Sánchez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Bivol

66.67 Sánchez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

73.06 Bivol

81.97 Sánchez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Bivol

80 Sánchez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Bivol stays in class.

Sánchez moves down 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Bivol.

Advantage: Bivol

Reach vs Height Delta

Bivol reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Sánchez reach: 191.0cm height: 189.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Sánchez.

Advantage: Sánchez

Stance Interaction

Bivol advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Sánchez advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Sánchez.

Advantage: Sánchez

Style Interaction

Bivol style: Out Boxer

Sánchez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral