Artur Beterbiev vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2019-10-18

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Beterbiev vs Gvozdyk 18 Oct 2019 Result: Beterbiev Historical Pick 61.90% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Artur Beterbiev (TKO)

Model pick Artur Beterbiev 61.90%

Prediction result Correct

Beterbiev odds 1.9524

Gvozdyk odds 2.0000

Beterbiev implied 51.22%

Gvozdyk implied 50.00%

Pick odds 1.9524

Pick implied 51.22%

Expected return 1.2086

ROI 20.86%

Edge 10.68%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:24:50 UTC

Fighter details

Artur Beterbiev

Score 78.62 · 21-1-0 (20 KO)

Full name Artur Asilbekovich Beterbiev

Age 41 · Rank #25 · Confidence Medium 0.709

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 185cm · RU

Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Score 66.53 · 21-3-0 (17 KO)

Full name Oleksandr Serhiyovych Gvozdyk

Age 39 · Rank #211 · Confidence Medium 0.641

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 192cm · UA

Artur Beterbiev

Full name: Artur Asilbekovich Beterbiev
Age: 41
Fighter rank: #25
Current model score: 78.62
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.709
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 182cm / 185cm
Nationality: RU
Career snapshot: 21-1-0 (20 KO)

18 Oct 2019

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Beterbiev

Historical

62% Beterbiev

38% Gvozdyk

Fight result: Artur Beterbiev (TKO)
Model pick: Artur Beterbiev 61.90%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 61.90%
Market odds: 1.9524
Implied probability: 51.22%
Expected ROI (1u): 20.86%
Value edge: 10.68%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:24:50 UTC

Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Full name: Oleksandr Serhiyovych Gvozdyk
Age: 39
Fighter rank: #211
Current model score: 66.53
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.641
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 192cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 21-3-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.970

78.3 Gvozdyk Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

88.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.740

73.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

74.4 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.580

73.6 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

89.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.820

62.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

84.3 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.660

70.8 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

78.2 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.610

78.7 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

75.1 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

86.5 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.640

79.1 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

93.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.720

59.9 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

83.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.710

62.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.650

Style Profile Beterbiev: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer vs Gvozdyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

12.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Low 0.480

Out Boxer

4.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.630

21.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

41.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.880

19.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

18.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.670

38.0 Gvozdyk Confidence High 0.790

Counter Puncher

3.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.550

10.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Advantage Beterbiev Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Gvozdyk Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Beterbiev

33.33 Gvozdyk

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Beterbiev

33.33 Gvozdyk

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Beterbiev

66.67 Gvozdyk

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.36 Beterbiev

62.2 Gvozdyk

Trend Score Last 5

80 Beterbiev

60 Gvozdyk

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Beterbiev

64.29 Gvozdyk

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Beterbiev

54.76 Gvozdyk

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Beterbiev

66.67 Gvozdyk

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.36 Beterbiev

62.2 Gvozdyk

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Beterbiev

70 Gvozdyk

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Beterbiev moves up 3 classes.

Gvozdyk moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Beterbiev reach: 185.0cm height: 182.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Gvozdyk reach: 192.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Gvozdyk.

Advantage: Gvozdyk

Stance Interaction

Beterbiev advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Gvozdyk advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Beterbiev style: Power Slugger

Gvozdyk style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Gvozdyk.

Advantage: Gvozdyk