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Beterbiev vs Smith 13 Jan 2024 Result: Beterbiev Historical Pick 58.47% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Artur Beterbiev (TKO)

Model pick Artur Beterbiev 58.47%

Prediction result Correct

Beterbiev odds 1.2222

Smith odds 5.6000

Beterbiev implied 81.82%

Smith implied 17.86%

Pick odds 1.2222

Pick implied 81.82%

Expected return 0.7146

ROI -28.54%

Edge -23.35%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-23 19:12:35 UTC

Fighter details
Artur Beterbiev
Artur Beterbiev

Score 78.85 · 21-1-0 (20 KO)

Full name Artur Asilbekovich Beterbiev

Age 41 · Rank #25 · Confidence Medium 0.709

Stance Orthodox · H/R 182cm / 185cm · RU

CS
Callum Smith

Score 66.75 · 31-2-0 (22 KO)

Full name Callum John Smith

Age 36 · Rank #164 · Confidence Medium 0.624

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.970

84.0 Smith Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

88.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.740

74.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.650

Hand Speed

74.4 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

89.5 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.820

68.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

84.3 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.660

71.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

78.2 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.610

80.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

78.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.690

Counter Punching

86.5 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.640

73.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.590

Chin

93.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.720

67.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

83.9 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.710

75.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.680

Style Profile Beterbiev: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer  vs  Smith: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

34.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.760

10.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.460

Out Boxer

4.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.630

28.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Power Slugger

41.0 Beterbiev Confidence High 0.880

24.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.740

Boxer Puncher

18.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.670

32.0 Smith Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

3.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.550

6.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.330

Stance Advantage Beterbiev Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

58.0 Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Beterbiev Confidence Medium 0.680

42.0 Smith Confidence Low 0.410

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Beterbiev

66.67 Smith

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Beterbiev

33.33 Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Beterbiev

0 Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.36 Beterbiev

70.32 Smith

Trend Score Last 5

80 Beterbiev

80 Smith

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

83.33 Beterbiev

81.67 Smith

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

66.67 Beterbiev

51.67 Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Beterbiev

0 Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.36 Beterbiev

70.32 Smith

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

90 Beterbiev

80 Smith

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Beterbiev stays in class.

Smith stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Beterbiev reach: 185.0cm height: 182.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Smith reach: 198.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 7.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith

Stance Interaction

Beterbiev advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Smith advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Beterbiev style: Power Slugger

Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: medium advantage Smith.

Advantage: Smith

Model: FiteQuant

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