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Nakatani vs Jr. 01 Nov 2022 Winner: Nakatani 69.38% ROI: -26.76% Tap to expand
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No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Bantamweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Nakatani odds 1.0556

Jr. odds 12.0000

Nakatani implied 94.73%

Jr. implied 8.33%

Pick odds 1.0556

Pick implied 94.73%

Expected return 0.7324

ROI -26.76%

Edge -25.35%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 13:01:19 UTC

Fighter details
JN
Junto Nakatani

Score 86.09 · 32-0-0 (24 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #2 · Confidence Medium 0.659

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 174cm · JP

FJ
Francisco Rodríguez Jr.

Score 74.27 · 41-6-1 (28 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #57 · Confidence Medium 0.612

Stance Orthodox · H/R 163cm / 165cm · MX

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.4 Nakatani Confidence High 0.820

88.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.740

Punching Accuracy

95.8 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.740

82.7 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

Hand Speed

94.5 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.680

84.9 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

92.8 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.700

93.9 Jr. Confidence High 0.760

Defensive Skill

93.5 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.630

76.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

94.8 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.720

74.3 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring Iq Adaptability

94.3 Nakatani Confidence High 0.760

78.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

94.1 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.670

77.5 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.510

Chin

89.9 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.550

85.6 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Cardio Engine

93.5 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.710

91.4 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

Style Profile Nakatani: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Jr.: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Nakatani Confidence Low 0.450

34.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

Out Boxer

18.0 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.440

Power Slugger

22.0 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.720

22.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Nakatani Confidence High 0.760

28.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

12.0 Nakatani Confidence Low 0.340

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.360

Stance Advantage Nakatani Advantage Vs Orthodox  vs  Jr. Advantage Vs Southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.690

44.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Nakatani Confidence Medium 0.690

56.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

100 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

62.94 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

48.33 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

100 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

100 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

71.26 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

62.94 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

49.44 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Nakatani Confidence High 1.000

100 Jr. Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Nakatani stays in class.

Jr. moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Nakatani.

Advantage: Nakatani

Reach vs Height Delta

Nakatani reach: 174.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Jr. reach: 165.0cm height: 163.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Stance Interaction

Nakatani advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Jr. advantage against southpaw: 56.0

Interaction: low advantage Nakatani.

Advantage: Nakatani

Style Interaction

Nakatani style: Boxer Puncher

Jr. style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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