Shakur Stevenson vs William Zepeda

Data as of: 2026-04-20 04:00:06 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Stevenson vs Zepeda 12 Jul 2025 Winner: Stevenson Custom 62.30% ROI: -31.47% Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Stevenson odds 1.1000

Zepeda odds 7.8000

Stevenson implied 90.91%

Zepeda implied 12.82%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.6853

ROI -31.47%

Edge -28.61%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 12:54:52 UTC

Fighter details

Shakur Stevenson

Score 85.56 · 25-0-0 (11 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.826

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

William Zepeda

Score 74.60 · 33-1-0 (27 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #55 · Confidence Medium 0.650

Stance Southpaw · H/R 175cm / 177cm · MX

Shakur Stevenson

Age: 28
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 85.56
Fighter confidence: High 0.826
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (11 KO)

12 Jul 2025

Projected Win Split

Winner

Stevenson

Custom

62% Stevenson

38% Zepeda

Win probability: 62.30%
Market odds: 1.1
Implied probability: 90.91%
Expected ROI (1u): -31.47%
Value edge: -28.61%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 12:54:52 UTC

William Zepeda

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #55
Current model score: 74.60
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.650
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 175cm / 177cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 33-1-0 (27 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Stevenson Confidence High 0.800

89.7 Zepeda Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

80.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.860

87.4 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.620

Pace Pressure

86.3 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.730

97.5 Zepeda Confidence High 0.860

Defensive Skill

92.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.920

72.3 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.720

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

76.8 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

71.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.640

Counter Punching

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

66.6 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.550

Chin

93.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.640

88.9 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

Cardio Engine

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.820

95.8 Zepeda Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Stevenson: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Zepeda: Pressure Swarmer Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.840

44.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.710

Out Boxer

50.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.940

6.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.470

Power Slugger

6.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

22.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

20.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

19.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.790

8.0 Zepeda Confidence Low 0.390

Stance Advantage Stevenson Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Zepeda Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

62.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

38.0 Zepeda Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

0 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

72.05 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

80 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

83.33 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.39 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

43.55 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

72.05 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

90 Zepeda Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Stevenson stays in class.

Zepeda moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Reach vs Height Delta

Stevenson reach: 173.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Zepeda reach: 177.0cm height: 175.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda

Stance Interaction

Stevenson advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Zepeda advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Stevenson

Style Interaction

Stevenson style: Out Boxer

Zepeda style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: medium advantage Zepeda.

Advantage: Zepeda