Shakur Stevenson vs Óscar Valdez

Data as of: 2026-04-20 04:00:06 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Stevenson vs Valdez Winner: Stevenson Custom 77.80% ROI: N/A Tap to expand

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Stevenson odds N/A

Valdez odds N/A

Stevenson implied N/A

Valdez implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

N/A

Fighter details

Shakur Stevenson

Score 85.56 · 25-0-0 (11 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.826

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Óscar Valdez

Score 70.28 · 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Age 35 · Rank #99 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · MX

Shakur Stevenson

Age: 28
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 85.56
Fighter confidence: High 0.826
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (11 KO)

Projected Win Split

Winner

Stevenson

Custom

78% Stevenson

22% Valdez

Win probability: 77.80%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

N/A

Óscar Valdez

Age: 35
Fighter rank: #99
Current model score: 70.28
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.701
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 168cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Stevenson Confidence High 0.800

80.7 Valdez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

73.7 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.860

80.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.690

Pace Pressure

86.3 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.730

85.9 Valdez Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

92.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.920

73.4 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

71.9 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

71.2 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

79.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Chin

93.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.640

77.8 Valdez Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.820

76.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Stevenson: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Valdez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.840

24.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Out Boxer

50.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.940

8.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.600

Power Slugger

6.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

18.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

38.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

19.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.790

12.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

Stance Advantage Stevenson Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Valdez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

36.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

67.62 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

60 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

80.3 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.39 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

51.52 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

67.62 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

70 Valdez Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Stevenson stays in class.

Valdez moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Reach vs Height Delta

Stevenson reach: 173.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Valdez reach: 168.0cm height: 166.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Valdez.

Advantage: Valdez

Stance Interaction

Stevenson advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Valdez advantage against orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Style Interaction

Stevenson style: Out Boxer

Valdez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral