Shakur Stevenson vs Óscar Valdez

Data as of: 2026-06-09 21:06:10 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Stevenson vs Valdez Model lean: Stevenson Custom 87.46% ROI: N/A Super lightweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using inferred fighter weight class for this comparison. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Model lean Shakur Stevenson 87.46%

Stevenson odds N/A

Valdez odds N/A

Stevenson implied N/A

Valdez implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Shakur Stevenson

Score 84.53 · 25-0-0 (11 KO)

Full name Ash-Shakur Nafi-Shahid Stevenson

Age 28 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.826

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

The Ring Super lightweight WBO Super lightweight

Óscar Valdez

Score 68.98 · 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Full name Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.

Age 35 · Rank #116 · Confidence Medium 0.701

Stance Orthodox · H/R 166cm / 168cm · MX

Shakur Stevenson

Full name: Ash-Shakur Nafi-Shahid Stevenson
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 84.53
Fighter confidence: High 0.826
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (11 KO)

World titles

The Ring Super lightweight WBO Super lightweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Stevenson

Custom

87% Stevenson

13% Valdez

Model lean: Shakur Stevenson 87.46%
Win probability: 87.46%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Óscar Valdez

Full name: Óscar Rafael Valdez Fierro Jr.
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #116
Current model score: 68.98
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.701
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 166cm / 168cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 33-3-0 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Stevenson Confidence High 0.800

80.7 Valdez Confidence High 0.790

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

73.7 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.670

Hand Speed

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.860

80.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.690

Pace Pressure

86.3 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.730

85.9 Valdez Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

92.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.920

73.4 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.740

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

71.9 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

71.2 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

79.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Chin

93.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.640

77.8 Valdez Confidence High 0.760

Cardio Engine

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.820

76.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Stevenson: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Valdez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.840

24.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.650

Out Boxer

50.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.940

8.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.600

Power Slugger

6.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

18.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

38.0 Valdez Confidence High 0.800

Counter Puncher

19.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.790

12.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

Stance Interaction Stevenson vs orthodox · Valdez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

36.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.680

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Stevenson

66.67 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Stevenson

33.33 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Stevenson

33.33 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.89 Stevenson

67.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Stevenson

60 Valdez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Stevenson

80.3 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.39 Stevenson

51.52 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Stevenson

33.33 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.89 Stevenson

67.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Stevenson

70 Valdez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Stevenson stays in class.

Valdez moves up 2 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Height Reach Delta

Stevenson height: 173.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Valdez height: 166.0cm reach: 168.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson +12.0cm

Stance Interaction

Stevenson vs orthodox: 58.0

Valdez vs southpaw: 36.0

Interaction: medium advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Style Interaction

Stevenson style: Out Boxer

Valdez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral