Shakur Stevenson vs Joet Gonzalez

Data as of: 2026-04-20 12:34:54 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Stevenson vs Gonzalez 26 Oct 2019 Winner: Stevenson Custom 77.31% ROI: -10.32% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Super lightweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Stevenson odds 1.1600

Gonzalez odds 6.5000

Stevenson implied 86.21%

Gonzalez implied 15.38%

Pick odds 1.16

Pick implied 86.21%

Expected return 0.8968

ROI -10.32%

Edge -8.89%

Lean No Value

2026-04-10 13:06:44 UTC

Fighter details

Shakur Stevenson

Score 85.56 · 25-0-0 (11 KO)

Age 28 · Rank #3 · Confidence High 0.826

Stance Southpaw · H/R 173cm / 173cm · US

Joet Gonzalez

Score 65.36 · 27-5-0 (15 KO)

Age 32 · Rank #182 · Confidence Medium 0.605

Stance Orthodox · H/R 168cm / 178cm · US

Shakur Stevenson

Age: 28
Fighter rank: #3
Current model score: 85.56
Fighter confidence: High 0.826
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 25-0-0 (11 KO)

26 Oct 2019

Projected Win Split

Winner

Stevenson

Custom

77% Stevenson

23% Gonzalez

Win probability: 77.31%
Market odds: 1.16
Implied probability: 86.21%
Expected ROI (1u): -10.32%
Value edge: -8.89%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-04-10 13:06:44 UTC

Joet Gonzalez

Age: 32
Fighter rank: #182
Current model score: 65.36
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.605
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 168cm / 178cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 27-5-0 (15 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 Stevenson Confidence High 0.800

57.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

90.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

68.7 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.860

71.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.580

Pace Pressure

86.3 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.730

82.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.770

Defensive Skill

92.3 Stevenson Confidence High 0.920

70.3 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

90.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

69.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.600

Ring Iq Adaptability

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.900

70.1 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter Punching

92.1 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

65.9 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.520

Chin

93.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.640

91.2 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.790

Cardio Engine

87.9 Stevenson Confidence High 0.820

83.4 Gonzalez Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Stevenson: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher vs Gonzalez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.840

24.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.450

Out Boxer

50.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.940

12.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.330

Power Slugger

6.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.890

16.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

20.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.870

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.710

Counter Puncher

19.0 Stevenson Confidence High 0.790

10.0 Gonzalez Confidence Low 0.280

Stance Advantage Stevenson Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Gonzalez Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

62.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Stevenson Confidence Medium 0.690

38.0 Gonzalez Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

0 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

77.19 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

40 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

61.49 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

39.39 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

25.86 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

72.89 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

77.19 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Stevenson Confidence High 1.000

50 Gonzalez Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Stevenson stays in class.

Gonzalez moves up 3 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Reach vs Height Delta

Stevenson reach: 173.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Gonzalez reach: 178.0cm height: 168.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Gonzalez.

Advantage: Gonzalez

Stance Interaction

Stevenson advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Gonzalez advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: medium advantage Stevenson.

Advantage: Stevenson

Style Interaction

Stevenson style: Out Boxer

Gonzalez style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral