David Benavidez vs Michał Cieślak

Data as of: 2026-11-09 12:39:01 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Benavidez vs Cieślak Model lean: Cieślak Custom 57.69% ROI: N/A Cruiserweight Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Michał Cieślak 57.69%

Benavidez odds N/A

Cieślak odds N/A

Benavidez implied N/A

Cieślak implied N/A

Market odds N/A

Implied probability N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean N/A

Bout Custom

Fighter details

David Benavidez

Score 76.91 · 32-0-0 (26 KO)

Full name Anthony David Benavidez

Age 29 · Rank #28 · Confidence Medium 0.651

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 189cm · US

WBA Cruiserweight WBC Light heavyweight WBO Cruiserweight

Michał Cieślak

Score 66.48 · 28-2-0 (22 KO)

Full name Michał Cieślak

Age 37 · Rank #206 · Confidence Medium 0.564

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 201cm · PL

David Benavidez

Full name: Anthony David Benavidez
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #28
Current model score: 76.91
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.651
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 32-0-0 (26 KO)

World titles

WBA Cruiserweight WBC Light heavyweight WBO Cruiserweight

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Cieślak

Custom

42% Benavidez

58% Cieślak

Model lean: Michał Cieślak 57.69%
Win probability: 57.69%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: N/A

Michał Cieślak

Full name: Michał Cieślak
Age: 37
Fighter rank: #206
Current model score: 66.48
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.564
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 201cm
Nationality: PL
Career snapshot: 28-2-0 (22 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

91.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.820

86.0 Cieślak Confidence High 0.800

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.720

77.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

81.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.630

74.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

89.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.780

79.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

74.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.580

69.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

78.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.600

73.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.560

Ring IQ Adaptability

85.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.710

75.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

77.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.520

70.0 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.450

Chin

82.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.570

72.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.550

Cardio Engine

86.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.730

76.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.600

Style Profile Benavidez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Cieślak: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

28.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.670

18.0 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.460

Out-Boxer

12.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

22.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.660

36.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

32.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

28.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

6.0 Benavidez Confidence Low 0.350

8.0 Cieślak Confidence Low 0.310

Stance Interaction Benavidez vs orthodox · Cieślak vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.730

64.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.620

Vs Southpaw

58.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.730

36.0 Cieślak Confidence Medium 0.620

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Benavidez

0 Cieślak

Opponent Rating Last 3

77.62 Benavidez

44.67 Cieślak

Trend Score Last 5

100 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

74.71 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Benavidez

0 Cieślak

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

77.62 Benavidez

46.3 Cieślak

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Benavidez

100 Cieślak

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Benavidez stays in class.

Cieślak stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Benavidez height: 185.0cm reach: 189.0cm

Cieślak height: 191.0cm reach: 201.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Cieślak.

Advantage: Cieślak +18.0cm

Stance Interaction

Benavidez vs orthodox: 42.0

Cieślak vs orthodox: 64.0

Interaction: medium advantage Cieślak.

Advantage: Cieślak

Style Interaction

Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher

Cieślak style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Benavidez.

Advantage: Benavidez