David Benavidez vs Anthony Yarde

Data as of: 2026-04-18 08:14:51 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Benavidez vs Yarde 22 Nov 2025 Winner: Benavidez 76.96% ROI: -15.35% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Bout details

Benavidez odds 1.1000

Yarde odds 11.0000

Benavidez implied 90.91%

Yarde implied 9.09%

Pick odds 1.1

Pick implied 90.91%

Expected return 0.8465

ROI -15.35%

Edge -13.95%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:19:37 UTC

Fighter details

David Benavidez

Score 87.27 · 31-0-0 (25 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.714

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · US

Anthony Yarde

Score 65.57 · 27-4-0 (24 KO)

Age 34 · Rank #173 · Confidence Medium 0.635

Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 183cm · GB

David Benavidez

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 87.27
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.714
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 31-0-0 (25 KO)

22 Nov 2025

Projected Win Split

Winner

Benavidez

77% Benavidez

23% Yarde

Win probability: 76.96%
Market odds: 1.1
Implied probability: 90.91%
Expected ROI (1u): -15.35%
Value edge: -13.95%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-03-23 16:19:37 UTC

Anthony Yarde

Age: 34
Fighter rank: #173
Current model score: 65.57
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.635
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 183cm / 183cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 27-4-0 (24 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.850

91.4 Yarde Confidence High 0.850

Punching Accuracy

95.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.750

74.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

95.6 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

84.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.690

Pace Pressure

97.9 Benavidez Confidence High 0.860

71.8 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.680

Defensive Skill

90.2 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.670

64.9 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.670

Distance Footwork Control

92.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.680

68.4 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.630

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.8 Benavidez Confidence High 0.770

64.7 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Punching

91.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.620

69.6 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.570

Chin

95.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.630

79.3 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.720

Cardio Engine

96.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.800

52.5 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Benavidez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Yarde: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

29.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.760

18.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.540

Out Boxer

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.540

10.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.560

Power Slugger

21.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.720

39.0 Yarde Confidence High 0.820

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.810

25.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

Counter Puncher

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Low 0.450

8.0 Yarde Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Benavidez Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Yarde Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

40.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

68.0 Yarde Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

60.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

32.0 Yarde Confidence Low 0.380

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

0 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

64.62 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

80 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

77.98 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.52 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

42.86 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

64.62 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

80 Yarde Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Benavidez stays in class.

Yarde stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Benavidez reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Yarde reach: 183.0cm height: 183.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Benavidez.

Advantage: Benavidez

Stance Interaction

Benavidez advantage against southpaw: 60.0

Yarde advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Yarde.

Advantage: Yarde

Style Interaction

Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher

Yarde style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Benavidez.

Advantage: Benavidez