David Benavidez vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Data as of: 2026-04-20 04:00:06 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Benavidez vs Gvozdyk 15 Jun 2024 Winner: Benavidez Custom 72.43% ROI: -11.47% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using shared fighter division: Light heavyweight.

Bout details

Benavidez odds 1.2222

Gvozdyk odds 5.5000

Benavidez implied 81.82%

Gvozdyk implied 18.18%

Pick odds 1.2222

Pick implied 81.82%

Expected return 0.8853

ROI -11.47%

Edge -9.39%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:21:01 UTC

Fighter details

David Benavidez

Score 87.27 · 31-0-0 (25 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.714

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · US

Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Score 65.17 · 21-3-0 (17 KO)

Age 39 · Rank #187 · Confidence Medium 0.641

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 192cm · UA

David Benavidez

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 87.27
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.714
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 31-0-0 (25 KO)

15 Jun 2024

Projected Win Split

Winner

Benavidez

Custom

72% Benavidez

28% Gvozdyk

Win probability: 72.43%
Market odds: 1.2222
Implied probability: 81.82%
Expected ROI (1u): -11.47%
Value edge: -9.39%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-03-23 16:21:01 UTC

Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Age: 39
Fighter rank: #187
Current model score: 65.17
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.641
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 192cm
Nationality: UA
Career snapshot: 21-3-0 (17 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.850

78.3 Gvozdyk Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

95.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.750

73.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

95.6 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

73.6 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

97.9 Benavidez Confidence High 0.860

62.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.620

Defensive Skill

90.2 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.670

70.8 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.630

Distance Footwork Control

92.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.680

78.7 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.680

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.8 Benavidez Confidence High 0.770

75.1 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Punching

91.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.620

79.1 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.610

Chin

95.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.630

59.9 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.740

Cardio Engine

96.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.800

62.3 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.650

Style Profile Benavidez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Gvozdyk: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

29.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.760

12.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Low 0.480

Out Boxer

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.540

21.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.660

Power Slugger

21.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.720

19.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.630

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.810

38.0 Gvozdyk Confidence High 0.790

Counter Puncher

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Low 0.450

10.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Advantage Benavidez Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Gvozdyk Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

40.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

58.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

60.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

42.0 Gvozdyk Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

62.2 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

60 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

64.29 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.52 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

54.76 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

66.67 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

62.2 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

70 Gvozdyk Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Benavidez stays in class.

Gvozdyk stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Benavidez reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Gvozdyk reach: 192.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 4.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Gvozdyk.

Advantage: Gvozdyk

Stance Interaction

Benavidez advantage against southpaw: 60.0

Gvozdyk advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Gvozdyk.

Advantage: Gvozdyk

Style Interaction

Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher

Gvozdyk style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral