David Benavidez vs Caleb Plant

Data as of: 2026-04-18 10:24:18 UTC

Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Light heavyweight. Change this if needed.

Benavidez vs Plant 25 Mar 2023 Winner: Benavidez 68.25% ROI: -9.01% Tap to expand

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Matchup weight class

No persisted bout weight class found. Using inferred fighter division: Light heavyweight. Change this if needed.

Bout details

Benavidez odds 1.3333

Plant odds 3.8500

Benavidez implied 75.00%

Plant implied 25.97%

Pick odds 1.3333

Pick implied 75.00%

Expected return 0.9099

ROI -9.01%

Edge -6.76%

Lean No Value

2026-03-23 16:22:18 UTC

Fighter details

David Benavidez

Score 87.27 · 31-0-0 (25 KO)

Age 29 · Rank #1 · Confidence Medium 0.714

Stance Orthodox · H/R 188cm / 189cm · US

Caleb Plant

Score 67.93 · 23-3-0 (14 KO)

Age 33 · Rank #128 · Confidence Medium 0.656

Stance Orthodox · H/R 185cm / 188cm · US

David Benavidez

Age: 29
Fighter rank: #1
Current model score: 87.27
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.714
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 188cm / 189cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 31-0-0 (25 KO)

25 Mar 2023

Projected Win Split

Winner

Benavidez

68% Benavidez

32% Plant

Win probability: 68.25%
Market odds: 1.3333
Implied probability: 75.00%
Expected ROI (1u): -9.01%
Value edge: -6.76%
Lean assessment: No Value

2026-03-23 16:22:18 UTC

Caleb Plant

Age: 33
Fighter rank: #128
Current model score: 67.93
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.656
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 185cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 23-3-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.850

60.6 Plant Confidence Medium 0.710

Punching Accuracy

95.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.750

77.1 Plant Confidence Medium 0.720

Hand Speed

95.6 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

90.0 Plant Confidence High 0.790

Pace Pressure

97.9 Benavidez Confidence High 0.860

45.3 Plant Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

90.2 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.670

86.3 Plant Confidence High 0.760

Distance Footwork Control

92.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.680

86.6 Plant Confidence High 0.770

Ring Iq Adaptability

93.8 Benavidez Confidence High 0.770

71.5 Plant Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter Punching

91.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.620

84.5 Plant Confidence Medium 0.720

Chin

95.8 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.630

68.4 Plant Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

96.6 Benavidez Confidence High 0.800

65.3 Plant Confidence Medium 0.690

Style Profile Benavidez: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Plant: Out-Boxer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

29.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.760

8.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.430

Out Boxer

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.540

42.0 Plant Confidence High 0.790

Power Slugger

21.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.720

10.0 Plant Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Benavidez Confidence High 0.810

30.0 Plant Confidence High 0.750

Counter Puncher

8.0 Benavidez Confidence Low 0.450

10.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.460

Stance Advantage Benavidez Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Plant Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

40.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

72.0 Plant Confidence Medium 0.680

Vs Southpaw

60.0 Benavidez Confidence Medium 0.740

28.0 Plant Confidence Low 0.420

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

70.77 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

40 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

64.49 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

59.52 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

44.93 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

33.33 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

71.21 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

70.77 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Benavidez Confidence High 1.000

70 Plant Confidence High 1.000

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Benavidez stays in class.

Plant moves up 1 classes.

Interaction: low advantage Benavidez.

Advantage: Benavidez

Reach vs Height Delta

Benavidez reach: 189.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Plant reach: 188.0cm height: 185.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Plant.

Advantage: Plant

Stance Interaction

Benavidez advantage against southpaw: 60.0

Plant advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: medium advantage Plant.

Advantage: Plant

Style Interaction

Benavidez style: Boxer Puncher

Plant style: Out Boxer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral