Oscar Collazo vs Neider Aguilar

Data as of: 2026-06-21 00:58:50 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Collazo vs Aguilar 20 Jun 2026 Model pick: Collazo Locked prediction 67.47% ROI: -31.85% Minimumweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Oscar Collazo 67.47%

Collazo odds 1.0100

Aguilar odds 19.0000

Collazo implied 99.01%

Aguilar implied 5.26%

Market odds 1.01

Implied probability 99.01%

Expected return 0.6815

ROI -31.85%

Edge -31.54%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

WBO WBA Ring

Minimumweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Fighter details

Oscar Collazo

Score 74.38 · 14-0-0 (11 KO)

Full name Oscar Manuel Collazo

Age 29 · Rank #38 · Confidence Medium 0.621

Stance Southpaw · H/R 157cm / 155cm · PR

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

Neider Aguilar

Score 48.09 · 5-3-0 (5 KO)

Full name Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar

Age 25 · Rank #535 · Confidence Low 0.466

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 165cm · MX

Oscar Collazo

Full name: Oscar Manuel Collazo
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #38
Current model score: 74.38
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.621
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 157cm / 155cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 14-0-0 (11 KO)

World titles

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

20 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Collazo

Locked prediction

67% Collazo

33% Aguilar

Titles on line

WBO WBA Ring

Minimumweight Championship

Model pick: Oscar Collazo 67.47%
Win probability: 67.47%
Market odds: 1.01
Implied probability: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -31.85%
Value edge: -31.54%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Neider Aguilar

Full name: Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar
Age: 25
Fighter rank: #535
Current model score: 48.09
Fighter confidence: Low 0.466
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 170cm / 165cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 5-3-0 (5 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Collazo Confidence High 0.820

74.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.730

58.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

82.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

61.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.380

Pace Pressure

86.0 Collazo Confidence High 0.780

64.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.450

Defensive Skill

78.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.580

49.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.620

54.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.400

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.720

56.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.460

Counter Punching

76.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.520

52.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.330

Chin

74.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.460

46.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.620

Cardio Engine

81.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.690

60.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.520

Style Profile Collazo: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Aguilar: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.570

18.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.350

Out Boxer

10.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.420

10.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.300

Power Slugger

22.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.630

34.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.550

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.710

28.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Puncher

10.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.310

10.0 Aguilar Confidence Low 0.250

Stance Interaction Collazo vs orthodox · Aguilar vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.670

61.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.550

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.670

39.0 Aguilar Confidence Medium 0.550

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

33.33 Aguilar

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Opponent Rating Last 3

56 Collazo

57.07 Aguilar

Trend Score Last 5

100 Collazo

40 Aguilar

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

56.67 Aguilar

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

10 Aguilar

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Collazo

0 Aguilar

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56.33 Collazo

57.07 Aguilar

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Collazo

70 Aguilar

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Collazo stays in class.

Aguilar moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo

Height Reach Delta

Collazo height: 157.0cm reach: 155.0cm

Aguilar height: 170.0cm reach: 165.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Aguilar.

Advantage: Aguilar +23.0cm

Stance Interaction

Collazo vs orthodox: 68.0

Aguilar vs southpaw: 39.0

Interaction: medium advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo

Style Interaction

Collazo style: Boxer Puncher

Aguilar style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo