Oscar Collazo vs Neider Valdez

Data as of: 2026-06-19 02:35:06 UTC Locked prediction As of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Collazo vs Valdez 20 Jun 2026 Model pick: Collazo Locked prediction 67.47% ROI: -31.85% Minimumweight Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Oscar Collazo 67.47%

Collazo odds 1.0100

Valdez odds 19.0000

Collazo implied 99.01%

Valdez implied 5.26%

Market odds 1.01

Implied probability 99.01%

Expected return 0.6815

ROI -31.85%

Edge -31.54%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

WBO WBA Ring

Minimumweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Fighter details

Oscar Collazo

Score 73.74 · 14-0-0 (11 KO)

Full name Oscar Manuel Collazo

Age 29 · Rank #44 · Confidence Medium 0.621

Stance Southpaw · H/R 157cm / 155cm · PR

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

Neider Valdez

Score 55.71 · 4-2-0 (4 KO)

Full name Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar

Age 25 · Rank #451 · Confidence Medium 0.513

Stance N/A · H/R 160cm / 165cm · MX

Oscar Collazo

Full name: Oscar Manuel Collazo
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #44
Current model score: 73.74
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.621
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 157cm / 155cm
Nationality: PR
Career snapshot: 14-0-0 (11 KO)

World titles

The Ring Minimumweight WBA Minimumweight WBO Minimumweight

20 Jun 2026

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Collazo

Locked prediction

67% Collazo

33% Valdez

Titles on line

WBO WBA Ring

Minimumweight Championship

Model pick: Oscar Collazo 67.47%
Win probability: 67.47%
Market odds: 1.01
Implied probability: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -31.85%
Value edge: -31.54%
Lean assessment: No Value

Locked prediction as of 2026-06-19 01:47:48 UTC

Neider Valdez

Full name: Neider Alexandro Valdez Aguilar
Age: 25
Fighter rank: #451
Current model score: 55.71
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.513
Stance: N/A
Height/Reach: 160cm / 165cm
Nationality: MX
Career snapshot: 4-2-0 (4 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

87.0 Collazo Confidence High 0.780

77.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.730

Punching Accuracy

84.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.680

67.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.500

Hand Speed

82.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.620

71.0 Valdez Confidence Low 0.450

Pace Pressure

85.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.720

72.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

78.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.560

58.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

80.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.580

61.0 Valdez Confidence Low 0.460

Ring Iq Adaptability

83.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.660

64.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.500

Counter Punching

76.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.470

59.0 Valdez Confidence Low 0.380

Chin

79.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.450

57.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.610

Cardio Engine

81.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.630

69.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Collazo: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Valdez: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.580

18.0 Valdez Confidence Low 0.380

Out Boxer

12.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.520

10.0 Valdez Confidence Low 0.330

Power Slugger

22.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.670

34.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Collazo Confidence High 0.750

28.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Puncher

10.0 Collazo Confidence Low 0.410

10.0 Valdez Confidence Very Low 0.240

Stance Interaction Collazo vs unknown stance · Valdez vs southpaw Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.740

32.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.590

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Collazo Confidence Medium 0.740

68.0 Valdez Confidence Medium 0.590

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

33.33 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3

100 Collazo

0 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Collazo

0 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3

56 Collazo

60.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5

100 Collazo

60 Valdez

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

66.67 Valdez

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Collazo

33.33 Valdez

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Collazo

0 Valdez

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

56 Collazo

60.62 Valdez

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Collazo

80 Valdez

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Collazo stays in class.

Valdez moves down 1 class.

Interaction: low advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo

Height Reach Delta

Collazo height: 157.0cm reach: 155.0cm

Valdez height: 160.0cm reach: 165.1cm

Interaction: high advantage Valdez.

Advantage: Valdez +13.1cm

Stance Interaction

Collazo vs unknown stance: N/A

Valdez vs southpaw: 68.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Collazo style: Boxer Puncher

Valdez style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Collazo.

Advantage: Collazo