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Lopez vs Romero 22 Aug 2026 Model pick: Lopez Locked prediction 75.31% ROI: 8.06% Welterweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Teofimo Lopez 75.31%

Lopez odds 1.4348

Romero odds 2.7800

Lopez implied 69.70%

Romero implied 35.97%

Market odds 1.4348

Implied probability 69.70%

Expected return 1.0806

ROI 8.06%

Edge 5.62%

Lean Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

WBA

Welterweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-07-26 09:23:23 UTC

Fighter details
Teofimo Lopez
Teofimo Lopez

Score 70.95 · 22-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Teófimo Andrés López Rivera

Age 28 · Rank #91 · Confidence Medium 0.706

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 174cm · US

Rolando Romero
Rolando Romero

Score 54.55 · 17-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Rolando Florencio Romero Moreno

Age 30 · Rank #572 · Confidence Medium 0.585

Stance Orthodox · H/R 170cm / 173cm · US

WBA Welterweight

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.790

83.0 Romero Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

75.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.690

61.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.520

Hand Speed

84.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.770

67.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

66.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.680

64.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

74.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.720

49.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.700

Distance Footwork Control

77.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.720

54.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

80.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.730

57.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.560

Counter Punching

86.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.790

55.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.440

Chin

73.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.630

52.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.680

Cardio Engine

72.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.670

66.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Lopez: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Romero: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.580

12.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.470

Out-Boxer

18.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.680

18.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.540

Power Slugger

24.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.780

38.0 Romero Confidence High 0.770

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Lopez Confidence High 0.810

24.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

16.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.660

8.0 Romero Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Lopez vs orthodox  ·  Romero vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

44.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.650

58.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.640

Vs Southpaw

56.0 Lopez Confidence Medium 0.650

42.0 Romero Confidence Medium 0.640

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Lopez

66.67 Romero

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Lopez

0 Romero

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Lopez

0 Romero

Opponent Rating Last 3

81.31 Lopez

69.18 Romero

Trend Score Last 5

80 Lopez

70 Romero

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 Lopez

80.21 Romero

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.95 Lopez

40.63 Romero

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Lopez

0 Romero

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

81.31 Lopez

69.18 Romero

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Lopez

85 Romero

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Lopez moves up 1 class.

Romero stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Romero.

Advantage: Romero

Height Reach Delta

Lopez height: 173.0cm reach: 174.0cm

Romero height: 170.0cm reach: 173.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Lopez.

Advantage: Lopez +4.0cm

Stance Interaction

Lopez vs orthodox: 44.0

Romero vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: low advantage Romero.

Advantage: Romero

Style Interaction

Lopez style: Boxer Puncher

Romero style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Lopez.

Advantage: Lopez

Model: FiteQuant

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