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López vs Lomachenko 17 Oct 2020 Result: Rivera Historical Pick 59.47% Prediction: Incorrect Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Teófimo Rivera (U D)

Model pick Vasiliy Lomachenko 59.47%

Prediction result Incorrect

López odds 4.3000

Lomachenko odds 1.2703

López implied 23.26%

Lomachenko implied 78.72%

Pick odds 1.2703

Pick implied 78.72%

Expected return 0.7555

ROI -24.45%

Edge -19.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 13:05:24 UTC

Fighter details
Teófimo López
Teófimo López

Score 73.63 · 22-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Teófimo Andrés López Rivera

Age 28 · Rank #61 · Confidence Medium 0.695

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 174cm · US

Vasiliy Lomachenko
Vasiliy Lomachenko

Score 87.41 · 18-3-0 (12 KO)

Full name Vasiliy Anatolyevich Lomachenko

Age 38 · Rank #2 · Confidence High 0.809

Stance Southpaw · H/R 170cm / 166cm · UA

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.5 López Confidence High 0.790

82.0 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

87.1 López Confidence Medium 0.690

97.3 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.890

Hand Speed

92.1 López Confidence High 0.760

97.3 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.900

Pace Pressure

54.8 López Confidence Medium 0.710

94.3 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.800

Defensive Skill

85.8 López Confidence Medium 0.680

97.3 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.860

Distance Footwork Control

81.1 López Confidence Medium 0.660

97.7 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.930

Ring Iq Adaptability

74.5 López Confidence Medium 0.670

97.3 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.890

Counter Punching

92.1 López Confidence High 0.750

97.1 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.870

Chin

86.0 López Confidence Medium 0.640

87.6 Lomachenko Confidence Medium 0.640

Cardio Engine

67.3 López Confidence Medium 0.670

95.6 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.820

Style Profile López: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer  vs  Lomachenko: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

8.0 López Confidence Medium 0.540

18.0 Lomachenko Confidence Medium 0.670

Out Boxer

22.0 López Confidence Medium 0.710

24.0 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.790

Power Slugger

18.0 López Confidence Medium 0.720

6.0 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.860

Boxer Puncher

37.0 López Confidence High 0.800

34.0 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.840

Counter Puncher

15.0 López Confidence Medium 0.640

18.0 Lomachenko Confidence High 0.760

Stance Advantage López Advantage Vs Southpaw  vs  Lomachenko Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

42.0 López Confidence Medium 0.690

58.0 Lomachenko Confidence Medium 0.730

Vs Southpaw

58.0 López Confidence Medium 0.690

42.0 Lomachenko Confidence Medium 0.730

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 López

66.67 Lomachenko

Ko Rate Last 3

0 López

33.33 Lomachenko

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 López

0 Lomachenko

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.67 López

71.8 Lomachenko

Trend Score Last 5

80 López

80 Lomachenko

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.95 López

77.78 Lomachenko

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30.95 López

47.22 Lomachenko

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 López

0 Lomachenko

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.67 López

71.8 Lomachenko

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 López

80 Lomachenko

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

López moves down 1 classes.

Lomachenko stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Lomachenko.

Advantage: Lomachenko

Height Reach Delta

López height: 173.0cm reach: 174.0cm

Lomachenko height: 170.0cm reach: 166.0cm

Interaction: high advantage López.

Advantage: López +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

López vs southpaw: 58.0

Lomachenko vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

López style: Boxer Puncher

Lomachenko style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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