Model pick Fabian Guzman 72.94%
Coley odds 7.6000
Guzman odds 1.0625
Coley implied 13.16%
Guzman implied 94.12%
Market odds 1.0625
Implied probability 94.12%
Expected return 0.7750
ROI -22.50%
Edge -21.18%
Lean No Value
Bout Locked prediction
Locked prediction as of 2026-07-30 02:14:21 UTC
Score 47.31 · 1-4-0 (1 KO)
Full name Aaron Pardee Coley
Age 35 · Rank #667 · Confidence Low 0.475
Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 175cm · US
Score 59.85 · 10-0-0 (8 KO)
Full name Fabian Guzman Macias
Age 23 · Rank #398 · Confidence Low 0.492
Stance Orthodox · H/R 183cm / 188cm · US
Punching Power
Punching Accuracy
Hand Speed
Pace Pressure
Defensive Skill
Distance Footwork Control
Ring IQ Adaptability
Counter Punching
Chin
Cardio Engine
Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.
Pressure Swarmer
Out-Boxer
Power Slugger
Boxer-Puncher
Counter-Puncher
Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.
Vs Orthodox
Vs Southpaw
Win Rate Last 3
Ko Rate Last 3
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m
Opponent Rating Last 3
Trend Score Last 5
Win Rate Last 3 Relative
Ko Rate Last 3 Relative
Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative
Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative
Trend Score Last 5 Relative
Weight Class Difference
Coley stays in class.
Guzman moves down 1 class.
Interaction: low advantage Coley.
Advantage: Coley
Height Reach Delta
Coley height: 178.0cm reach: 175.0cm
Guzman height: 183.0cm reach: 188.0cm
Interaction: high advantage Guzman.
Advantage: Guzman +18.0cm
Stance Interaction
Coley vs orthodox: 62.0
Guzman vs southpaw: 33.0
Interaction: medium advantage Coley.
Advantage: Coley
Style Interaction
Coley style: Boxer Puncher
Guzman style: Power Slugger
Interaction: medium advantage Coley.
Advantage: Coley
