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Álvarez vs Assomo-Hallier 13 Sep 2026 Model pick: Álvarez Locked prediction 50.20% ROI: -35.46% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Canelo Álvarez 50.20%

Álvarez odds 1.2857

Assomo-Hallier odds 3.5000

Álvarez implied 77.78%

Assomo-Hallier implied 28.57%

Market odds 1.2857

Implied probability 77.78%

Expected return 0.6454

ROI -35.46%

Edge -27.58%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-08-19 11:42:22 UTC

Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez
Canelo Álvarez

Score 78.39 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Full name Santos Saúl Álvarez Barragán

Age 36 · Rank #16 · Confidence High 0.804

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Christian Assomo-Hallier
Christian Assomo-Hallier

Score 70.66 · 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Full name Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier

Age 31 · Rank #97 · Confidence Medium 0.613

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · FR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.840

90.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence High 0.830

Punching Accuracy

88.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.870

80.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

79.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.790

78.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

74.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.800

84.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

85.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.850

72.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

81.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.800

75.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.580

Ring IQ Adaptability

89.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.860

79.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter Punching

90.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.880

74.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Low 0.490

Chin

87.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.800

78.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.590

Cardio Engine

78.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.770

81.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.660

Style Profile Álvarez: Boxer-Puncher Counter-Puncher  vs  Assomo-Hallier: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.720

24.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.590

Out-Boxer

10.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.660

8.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.530

Power Slugger

18.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.770

27.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.700

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.870

33.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.660

Counter-Puncher

22.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.840

8.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Low 0.410

Stance Interaction Álvarez vs orthodox  ·  Assomo-Hallier vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.770

68.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.770

32.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Álvarez

66.67 Assomo-Hallier

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Álvarez

33.33 Assomo-Hallier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Álvarez

33.33 Assomo-Hallier

Opponent Rating Last 3

76.55 Álvarez

65.69 Assomo-Hallier

Trend Score Last 5

80 Álvarez

90 Assomo-Hallier

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.26 Álvarez

83.33 Assomo-Hallier

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 Álvarez

59.26 Assomo-Hallier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Álvarez

33.33 Assomo-Hallier

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

76.55 Álvarez

65.69 Assomo-Hallier

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Álvarez

95 Assomo-Hallier

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Álvarez stays in class.

Assomo-Hallier stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Álvarez height: 171.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Assomo-Hallier height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Assomo-Hallier.

Advantage: Assomo-Hallier +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Álvarez vs orthodox: 58.0

Assomo-Hallier vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: low advantage Assomo-Hallier.

Advantage: Assomo-Hallier

Style Interaction

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Assomo-Hallier style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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