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Álvarez vs Assomo-Hallier 31 Oct 2026 Model pick: Álvarez Locked prediction 54.46% ROI: -29.98% Super middleweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Canelo Álvarez 54.46%

Álvarez odds 1.2857

Assomo-Hallier odds 3.5000

Álvarez implied 77.78%

Assomo-Hallier implied 28.57%

Market odds 1.2857

Implied probability 77.78%

Expected return 0.7002

ROI -29.98%

Edge -23.32%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Locked prediction as of 2026-10-04 07:35:57 UTC

Fighter details
Canelo Álvarez
Canelo Álvarez

Score 78.22 · 63-3-2 (39 KO)

Full name Santos Saúl Álvarez Barragán

Age 36 · Rank #14 · Confidence High 0.786

Stance Orthodox · H/R 171cm / 179cm · MX

Christian Assomo-Hallier
Christian Assomo-Hallier

Score 69.64 · 29-0-1 (24 KO)

Full name Christian Mbilli Assomo-Hallier

Age 31 · Rank #114 · Confidence Medium 0.601

Stance Orthodox · H/R 174cm / 183cm · FR

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

88.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.850

91.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence High 0.840

Punching Accuracy

89.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.870

81.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.660

Hand Speed

78.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.790

78.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.560

Pace Pressure

74.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.800

86.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.720

Defensive Skill

87.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.860

73.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Low 0.490

Distance Footwork Control

82.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.810

75.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring IQ Adaptability

90.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.880

79.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Punching

91.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.890

74.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Low 0.440

Chin

86.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.820

80.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.510

Cardio Engine

79.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.780

77.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.570

Style Profile Álvarez: Boxer-Puncher Counter-Puncher  vs  Assomo-Hallier: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

14.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.650

28.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.670

Out-Boxer

10.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.620

8.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

18.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.720

26.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence High 0.760

Boxer-Puncher

38.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.830

30.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter-Puncher

20.0 Álvarez Confidence High 0.760

8.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Interaction Álvarez vs orthodox  ·  Assomo-Hallier vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.720

58.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.630

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Álvarez Confidence Medium 0.720

42.0 Assomo-Hallier Confidence Medium 0.630

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Álvarez

66.67 Assomo-Hallier

Ko Rate Last 3

0 Álvarez

33.33 Assomo-Hallier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

0 Álvarez

0 Assomo-Hallier

Opponent Rating Last 3

70.86 Álvarez

65.69 Assomo-Hallier

Trend Score Last 5

80 Álvarez

90 Assomo-Hallier

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.26 Álvarez

83.33 Assomo-Hallier

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

30 Álvarez

59.26 Assomo-Hallier

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

0 Álvarez

0 Assomo-Hallier

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

70.86 Álvarez

65.69 Assomo-Hallier

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Álvarez

95 Assomo-Hallier

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Álvarez stays in class.

Assomo-Hallier stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Álvarez height: 171.0cm reach: 179.0cm

Assomo-Hallier height: 174.0cm reach: 183.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Assomo-Hallier.

Advantage: Assomo-Hallier +7.0cm

Stance Interaction

Álvarez vs orthodox: 58.0

Assomo-Hallier vs orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Álvarez style: Boxer Puncher

Assomo-Hallier style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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