Jaron Ennis vs Eimantas Stanionis

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2025-04-12

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Ennis vs Stanionis 12 Apr 2025 Result: Ennis Historical Pick 85.25% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Jaron Ennis (RTD)

Model pick Jaron Ennis 85.25%

Prediction result Correct

Ennis odds 1.2222

Stanionis odds 5.5000

Ennis implied 81.82%

Stanionis implied 18.18%

Pick odds 1.2222

Pick implied 81.82%

Expected return 1.0419

ROI 4.19%

Edge 3.43%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:41 UTC

Fighter details

Jaron Ennis

Score 82.82 · 35-0-0 (31 KO)

Full name Jaron Vergil Ennis

Age 28 · Rank #5 · Confidence Medium 0.636

Stance Southpaw · H/R 178cm / 188cm · US

The Ring Welterweight

Eimantas Stanionis

Score 67.37 · 16-1-0 (9 KO)

Full name Eimantas Stanionis

Age 31 · Rank #146 · Confidence Medium 0.602

Stance Orthodox · H/R 173cm / 173cm · LT

Jaron Ennis

Full name: Jaron Vergil Ennis
Age: 28
Fighter rank: #5
Current model score: 82.82
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.636
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 178cm / 188cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 35-0-0 (31 KO)

World titles

The Ring Welterweight

12 Apr 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Ennis

Historical

85% Ennis

15% Stanionis

Fight result: Jaron Ennis (RTD)
Model pick: Jaron Ennis 85.25%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 85.25%
Market odds: 1.2222
Implied probability: 81.82%
Expected ROI (1u): 4.19%
Value edge: 3.43%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-04-10 12:55:41 UTC

Eimantas Stanionis

Full name: Eimantas Stanionis
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #146
Current model score: 67.37
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.602
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 173cm / 173cm
Nationality: LT
Career snapshot: 16-1-0 (9 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.8 Ennis Confidence High 0.840

70.3 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.720

Punching Accuracy

94.8 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.690

75.1 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

95.8 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.670

67.8 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.520

Pace Pressure

92.7 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.650

83.7 Stanionis Confidence High 0.780

Defensive Skill

89.1 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.560

75.4 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

93.5 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.600

74.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring Iq Adaptability

92.2 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.660

78.5 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.670

Counter Punching

94.3 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.580

67.6 Stanionis Confidence Low 0.490

Chin

84.6 Ennis Confidence Low 0.430

81.4 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

92.4 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.640

79.4 Stanionis Confidence High 0.750

Style Profile Ennis: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Stanionis: Pressure Swarmer Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Ennis Confidence Low 0.470

35.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.670

Out Boxer

18.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.690

10.0 Stanionis Confidence Low 0.420

Power Slugger

22.0 Ennis Confidence High 0.760

18.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.500

Boxer Puncher

38.0 Ennis Confidence High 0.810

30.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.700

Counter Puncher

10.0 Ennis Confidence Low 0.380

7.0 Stanionis Confidence Low 0.300

Stance Advantage Ennis Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Stanionis Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.690

68.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Ennis Confidence Medium 0.690

32.0 Stanionis Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Ennis

66.67 Stanionis

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Ennis

0 Stanionis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Ennis

66.67 Stanionis

Opponent Rating Last 3

68.32 Ennis

68.46 Stanionis

Trend Score Last 5

100 Ennis

80 Stanionis

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Ennis

83.33 Stanionis

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

78.65 Ennis

32.14 Stanionis

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Ennis

66.67 Stanionis

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

68.32 Ennis

68.46 Stanionis

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Ennis

90 Stanionis

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Ennis moves down 1 classes.

Stanionis stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Stanionis.

Advantage: Stanionis

Reach vs Height Delta

Ennis reach: 188.0cm height: 178.0cm delta: 10.0cm

Stanionis reach: 173.0cm height: 173.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Ennis.

Advantage: Ennis

Stance Interaction

Ennis advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Stanionis advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Ennis.

Advantage: Ennis

Style Interaction

Ennis style: Boxer Puncher

Stanionis style: Pressure Swarmer

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral