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Dubois vs Wardley 17 Oct 2026 Model pick: Dubois Locked prediction 50.24% ROI: -42.03% Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Daniel Dubois 50.24%

Dubois odds 1.1538

Wardley odds 5.3000

Dubois implied 86.67%

Wardley implied 18.87%

Market odds 1.1538

Implied probability 86.67%

Expected return 0.5797

ROI -42.03%

Edge -36.43%

Lean No Value

Bout Locked prediction

Titles on line

WBO

Heavyweight Championship

Locked prediction as of 2026-09-21 07:47:45 UTC

Fighter details
Daniel Dubois
Daniel Dubois

Score 65.57 · 23-3-0 (22 KO)

Full name Daniel Dubois

Age 29 · Rank #246 · Confidence Medium 0.679

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

WBO Heavyweight
FW
Fabio Wardley

Score 65.41 · 20-1-1 (19 KO)

Full name Fabio Wardley

Age 31 · Rank #276 · Confidence Medium 0.580

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

95.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.950

91.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.840

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.710

74.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

74.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.480

Pace Pressure

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.700

79.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

58.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.730

61.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.550

Distance Footwork Control

61.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.640

65.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.460

Ring IQ Adaptability

64.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

71.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.570

Counter Punching

67.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

66.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.410

Chin

60.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.760

64.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.520

Cardio Engine

69.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.660

73.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

Style Profile Dubois: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher  vs  Wardley: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.570

18.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.580

Out-Boxer

5.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.660

6.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.430

Power Slugger

49.0 Dubois Confidence High 0.910

43.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.810

Boxer-Puncher

22.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.630

25.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.600

Counter-Puncher

6.0 Dubois Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.380

Stance Interaction Dubois vs orthodox  ·  Wardley vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

72.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

72.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.690

Vs Southpaw

28.0 Dubois Confidence Medium 0.690

28.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.690

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3

84.28 Dubois

78.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5

80 Dubois

70 Wardley

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

78.99 Dubois

80.7 Wardley

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

76.81 Dubois

78.07 Wardley

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Dubois

66.67 Wardley

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

84.28 Dubois

78.26 Wardley

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Dubois

85 Wardley

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Dubois stays in class.

Wardley stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Dubois height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Wardley height: 196.0cm reach: 198.0cm

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral 0.0cm

Stance Interaction

Dubois vs orthodox: 72.0

Wardley vs orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Dubois style: Power Slugger

Wardley style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Model: FiteQuant

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