Joseph Parker vs Suliasi Ahio

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Custom

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Parker vs Ahio Model lean: Parker Custom 91.66% ROI: N/A Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using shared fighter weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model lean Joseph Parker 91.66%

Parker odds N/A

Ahio odds N/A

Parker implied N/A

Ahio implied N/A

Pick odds N/A

Pick implied N/A

Expected return N/A

ROI N/A

Edge N/A

Lean No Odds

Bout Custom

Fighter details

Joseph Parker

Score 78.53 · 36-4-0 (24 KO)

Full name Joseph Dennis Parker

Age 34 · Rank #17 · Confidence Medium 0.703

Stance Orthodox · H/R 193cm / 193cm · NZ

Suliasi Ahio

Score 39.37 · 28-6-0 (20 KO)

Full name Suliasi Tupou Ahio

Age 43 · Rank #465 · Confidence Low 0.431

Stance Orthodox · H/R 189cm / 192cm · AU

Joseph Parker

Full name: Joseph Dennis Parker
Age: 34
Fighter rank: #17
Current model score: 78.53
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.703
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 193cm / 193cm
Nationality: NZ
Career snapshot: 36-4-0 (24 KO)

Projected Win Split

Model lean

Parker

Custom

92% Parker

8% Ahio

Model lean: Joseph Parker 91.66%
Win probability: 91.66%
Market odds: N/A
Implied probability: N/A
Expected ROI (1u): N/A
Value edge: N/A
Lean assessment: No Odds

Suliasi Ahio

Full name: Suliasi Tupou Ahio
Age: 43
Fighter rank: #465
Current model score: 39.37
Fighter confidence: Low 0.431
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 189cm / 192cm
Nationality: AU
Career snapshot: 28-6-0 (20 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

80.0 Parker Confidence High 0.800

62.0 Ahio Confidence Medium 0.620

Punching Accuracy

86.2 Parker Confidence Medium 0.720

48.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.420

Hand Speed

93.8 Parker Confidence High 0.780

42.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.350

Pace Pressure

73.3 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

46.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.460

Defensive Skill

88.3 Parker Confidence High 0.760

38.0 Ahio Confidence Medium 0.560

Distance Footwork Control

87.8 Parker Confidence High 0.760

40.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.420

Ring Iq Adaptability

90.5 Parker Confidence High 0.790

50.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.480

Counter Punching

89.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.730

44.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.320

Chin

82.9 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

34.0 Ahio Confidence Medium 0.660

Cardio Engine

86.1 Parker Confidence High 0.770

43.0 Ahio Confidence Medium 0.500

Style Profile Parker: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Ahio: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.530

12.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.250

Out Boxer

24.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.680

8.0 Ahio Confidence Very Low 0.220

Power Slugger

16.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.630

45.0 Ahio Confidence Medium 0.660

Boxer Puncher

34.0 Parker Confidence High 0.760

30.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Puncher

14.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.550

5.0 Ahio Confidence Very Low 0.150

Stance Advantage Parker Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Ahio Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

58.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.460

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Parker Confidence Medium 0.670

42.0 Ahio Confidence Low 0.340

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Parker

66.67 Ahio

Ko Rate Last 3

33.33 Parker

33.33 Ahio

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Parker

33.33 Ahio

Opponent Rating Last 3

75.48 Parker

57.67 Ahio

Trend Score Last 5

80 Parker

60 Ahio

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

79.28 Parker

74.24 Ahio

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

47.75 Parker

45.45 Ahio

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Parker

33.33 Ahio

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

75.48 Parker

57.67 Ahio

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

80 Parker

60 Ahio

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Parker stays in class.

Ahio stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Parker reach: 193.0cm height: 193.0cm delta: 0.0cm

Ahio reach: 192.0cm height: 189.0cm delta: 3.0cm

Interaction: low advantage Ahio.

Advantage: Ahio

Stance Interaction

Parker advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Ahio advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Style Interaction

Parker style: Boxer Puncher

Ahio style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Parker.

Advantage: Parker