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Hrgović vs Allen 16 May 2026 Result: Hrgović Time-safe result Pick 72.99% Prediction: Correct Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Filip Hrgović (TKO)

Pre-fight pick Filip Hrgović 72.99%

Prediction result Correct

Hrgović odds 1.1099

Allen odds 6.5000

Hrgović implied 90.10%

Allen implied 15.38%

Pre-fight odds 1.1099

Pre-fight implied 90.10%

Expected return 0.8101

ROI -18.99%

Edge -17.11%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-05-15 11:42:46 UTC

Fighter details
Filip Hrgović
Filip Hrgović

Score 62.94 · 20-1-0 (15 KO)

Full name Filip Hrgović

Age 34 · Rank #224 · Confidence Medium 0.598

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · HR

DA
Dave Allen

Score 58.47 · 25-9-2 (20 KO)

Full name David Allen

Age 34 · Rank #468 · Confidence Medium 0.604

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 191cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

84.0 Hrgović Confidence High 0.750

78.0 Allen Confidence High 0.770

Punching Accuracy

72.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

66.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.580

Hand Speed

68.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.500

58.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.540

Pace Pressure

71.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.600

69.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.660

Defensive Skill

63.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

54.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.640

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.560

52.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring IQ Adaptability

74.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.640

63.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.610

Counter Punching

67.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.490

67.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.630

Chin

64.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.520

64.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.690

Cardio Engine

70.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.630

62.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.620

Style Profile Hrgović: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Allen: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.470

18.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.450

Out-Boxer

21.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.460

Power Slugger

23.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.720

34.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.720

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Hrgović Confidence High 0.770

28.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.630

Counter-Puncher

10.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.350

12.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.520

Stance Interaction Hrgović vs orthodox  ·  Allen vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.690

62.0 Allen Confidence Medium 0.720

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.690

38.0 Allen Confidence Low 0.450

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Hrgović

100 Allen

Opponent Rating Last 3

74.14 Hrgović

63.44 Allen

Trend Score Last 5

85 Hrgović

60 Allen

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hrgović

69.27 Allen

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

70.18 Hrgović

66.67 Allen

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Hrgović

100 Allen

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

74.14 Hrgović

63.44 Allen

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Hrgović

70 Allen

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hrgović stays in class.

Allen stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hrgović height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Allen height: 191.0cm reach: 191.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović +24.0cm

Stance Interaction

Hrgović vs orthodox: 68.0

Allen vs orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović

Style Interaction

Hrgović style: Boxer Puncher

Allen style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović

Model: FiteQuant

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