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Hrgović vs Itauma 29 Aug 2026 Result: Hrgović Time-safe result Pick 50.47% Prediction: Incorrect Heavyweight Tap to expand Analysis
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Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Filip Hrgović (KO)

Pre-fight pick Moses Itauma 50.47%

Prediction result Incorrect

Hrgović odds 6.3000

Itauma odds 1.1111

Hrgović implied 15.87%

Itauma implied 90.00%

Pre-fight odds 1.1111

Pre-fight implied 90.00%

Expected return 0.5607

ROI -43.93%

Edge -39.54%

Lean No Value

Bout Time-safe result

Pre-fight prediction locked 2026-08-03 12:42:21 UTC

Fighter details
Filip Hrgović
Filip Hrgović

Score 59.93 · 21-1-0 (16 KO)

Full name Filip Hrgović

Age 34 · Rank #250 · Confidence Medium 0.588

Stance Orthodox · H/R 198cm / 208cm · HR

MI
Moses Itauma

Score 60.48 · 14-1-0 (12 KO)

Full name Enriko Moses Itauma

Age 21 · Rank #233 · Confidence Medium 0.561

Stance Southpaw · H/R 194cm / 201cm · GB

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Hrgović Confidence High 0.810

90.0 Itauma Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

74.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.610

82.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.630

Hand Speed

69.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.490

84.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.600

Pace Pressure

72.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.560

Defensive Skill

66.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.520

70.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.500

Distance Footwork Control

73.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.600

74.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring IQ Adaptability

75.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.620

72.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.490

Counter Punching

68.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.470

75.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.470

Chin

67.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.500

60.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.430

Cardio Engine

76.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.630

68.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.460

Style Profile Hrgović: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger  vs  Itauma: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

12.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.450

18.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.550

Out-Boxer

18.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.450

Power Slugger

24.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

36.0 Itauma Confidence High 0.780

Boxer-Puncher

34.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.740

30.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.680

Counter-Puncher

12.0 Hrgović Confidence Low 0.360

8.0 Itauma Confidence Low 0.350

Stance Interaction Hrgović vs southpaw  ·  Itauma vs orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

62.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

68.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.650

Vs Southpaw

38.0 Hrgović Confidence Medium 0.680

32.0 Itauma Confidence Medium 0.650

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Hrgović

33.33 Itauma

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Hrgović

33.33 Itauma

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Hrgović

100 Itauma

Opponent Rating Last 3

81.1 Hrgović

77.05 Itauma

Trend Score Last 5

100 Hrgović

60 Itauma

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Hrgović

66.67 Itauma

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

69.05 Hrgović

58.97 Itauma

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Hrgović

100 Itauma

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

81.1 Hrgović

77.05 Itauma

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Hrgović

80 Itauma

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Hrgović stays in class.

Itauma stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Hrgović height: 198.0cm reach: 208.0cm

Itauma height: 194.0cm reach: 201.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović +11.0cm

Stance Interaction

Hrgović vs southpaw: 38.0

Itauma vs orthodox: 68.0

Interaction: medium advantage Itauma.

Advantage: Itauma

Style Interaction

Hrgović style: Boxer Puncher

Itauma style: Power Slugger

Interaction: medium advantage Hrgović.

Advantage: Hrgović

Model: High AI Confidence

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