Fabio Wardley vs David Adeleye

Data as of: 2026-05-14 00:30:50 UTC Historical As-of 2023-10-28

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Wardley vs Adeleye 28 Oct 2023 Result: Wardley Historical Pick 67.50% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Fabio Wardley (TKO)

Model pick Fabio Wardley 67.50%

Prediction result Correct

Wardley odds 1.4545

Adeleye odds 3.4000

Wardley implied 68.75%

Adeleye implied 29.41%

Pick odds 1.4545

Pick implied 68.75%

Expected return 0.9818

ROI -1.82%

Edge -1.25%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:21:43 UTC

Fighter details

Fabio Wardley

Score 68.39 · 20-1-1 (19 KO)

Full name Fabio Wardley

Age 31 · Rank #129 · Confidence Medium 0.608

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 198cm · GB

WBO Heavyweight

David Adeleye

Score 53.41 · 14-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name David Bankole Adeleye

Age 29 · Rank #418 · Confidence Medium 0.575

Stance Orthodox · H/R 194cm / N/A · GB

Fabio Wardley

Full name: Fabio Wardley
Age: 31
Fighter rank: #129
Current model score: 68.39
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.608
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 198cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 20-1-1 (19 KO)

World titles

WBO Heavyweight

28 Oct 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Wardley

Historical

67% Wardley

33% Adeleye

Fight result: Fabio Wardley (TKO)
Model pick: Fabio Wardley 67.50%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 67.50%
Market odds: 1.4545
Implied probability: 68.75%
Expected ROI (1u): -1.82%
Value edge: -1.25%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:21:43 UTC

David Adeleye

Full name: David Bankole Adeleye
Age: 29
Fighter rank: #418
Current model score: 53.41
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.575
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 194cm / N/A
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 14-2-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

92.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.870

75.2 Adeleye Confidence High 0.780

Punching Accuracy

78.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

62.2 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.560

Hand Speed

74.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.500

66.1 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

81.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.680

71.2 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.630

Defensive Skill

64.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.570

50.8 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.600

Distance Footwork Control

69.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.520

50.5 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.500

Ring Iq Adaptability

76.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

47.2 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.530

Counter Punching

71.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.470

49.1 Adeleye Confidence Low 0.430

Chin

70.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.560

56.0 Adeleye Confidence Low 0.490

Cardio Engine

77.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.660

47.1 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.550

Style Profile Wardley: Power Slugger Boxer-Puncher vs Adeleye: Power Slugger Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

18.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.580

22.0 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.550

Out Boxer

6.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.630

8.0 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.520

Power Slugger

44.0 Wardley Confidence High 0.820

42.0 Adeleye Confidence High 0.790

Boxer Puncher

24.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.600

20.0 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.580

Counter Puncher

8.0 Wardley Confidence Low 0.420

8.0 Adeleye Confidence Low 0.440

Stance Advantage Wardley Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Adeleye Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

58.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

72.0 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.660

Vs Southpaw

42.0 Wardley Confidence Medium 0.610

28.0 Adeleye Confidence Medium 0.660

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

66.67 Wardley

66.67 Adeleye

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Wardley

66.67 Adeleye

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

100 Wardley

66.67 Adeleye

Opponent Rating Last 3

79.26 Wardley

61.55 Adeleye

Trend Score Last 5

70 Wardley

60 Adeleye

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

80.7 Wardley

79.49 Adeleye

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

78.07 Wardley

75.64 Adeleye

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

100 Wardley

66.67 Adeleye

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

79.26 Wardley

61.55 Adeleye

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

85 Wardley

80 Adeleye

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Wardley stays in class.

Adeleye stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Wardley reach: 198.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Adeleye reach: N/A height: 194.0cm delta: N/A

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Stance Interaction

Wardley advantage against orthodox: 58.0

Adeleye advantage against orthodox: 72.0

Interaction: low advantage Adeleye.

Advantage: Adeleye

Style Interaction

Wardley style: Power Slugger

Adeleye style: Power Slugger

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral