Lawrence Okolie vs Chris Billam-Smith

Data as of: 2026-05-13 14:32:09 UTC Historical As-of 2023-05-27

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Okolie vs Billam-Smith 27 May 2023 Result: Billam-Smith Historical Pick 50.49% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Chris Billam-Smith (M D)

Model pick Chris Billam-Smith 50.49%

Prediction result Correct

Okolie odds 1.2857

Billam-Smith odds 4.2000

Okolie implied 77.78%

Billam-Smith implied 23.81%

Pick odds 4.2

Pick implied 23.81%

Expected return 2.1204

ROI 112.04%

Edge 26.68%

Lean Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:06 UTC

Fighter details

Lawrence Okolie

Score 67.58 · 23-1-0 (17 KO)

Full name Lawrence Okolie

Age 33 · Rank #135 · Confidence Medium 0.595

Stance Orthodox · H/R 196cm / 210cm · GB

Chris Billam-Smith

Score 71.68 · 21-2-0 (13 KO)

Full name Chris Billam-Smith

Age 35 · Rank #97 · Confidence Medium 0.628

Stance Orthodox · H/R 191cm / 193cm · GB

Lawrence Okolie

Full name: Lawrence Okolie
Age: 33
Fighter rank: #135
Current model score: 67.58
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.595
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 196cm / 210cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 23-1-0 (17 KO)

27 May 2023

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Billam-Smith

Historical

50% Okolie

50% Billam-Smith

Fight result: Chris Billam-Smith (M D)
Model pick: Chris Billam-Smith 50.49%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 50.49%
Market odds: 4.2
Implied probability: 23.81%
Expected ROI (1u): 112.04%
Value edge: 26.68%
Lean assessment: Value

Odds updated 2026-03-23 16:22:06 UTC

Chris Billam-Smith

Full name: Chris Billam-Smith
Age: 35
Fighter rank: #97
Current model score: 71.68
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.628
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 191cm / 193cm
Nationality: GB
Career snapshot: 21-2-0 (13 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

86.0 Okolie Confidence High 0.780

77.6 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.760

Punching Accuracy

73.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.580

73.4 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.620

Hand Speed

70.0 Okolie Confidence Low 0.450

65.3 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.500

Pace Pressure

67.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.520

86.8 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.750

Defensive Skill

72.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.580

76.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.580

Distance Footwork Control

83.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.720

74.9 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.570

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.660

83.8 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Punching

69.0 Okolie Confidence Low 0.440

71.8 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.480

Chin

76.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.550

89.1 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.700

Cardio Engine

77.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.650

87.9 Billam-Smith Confidence High 0.800

Style Profile Okolie: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer vs Billam-Smith: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

5.0 Okolie Confidence Low 0.450

24.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.610

Out Boxer

30.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.700

18.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.550

Power Slugger

25.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.720

14.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.560

Boxer Puncher

35.0 Okolie Confidence High 0.760

34.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.720

Counter Puncher

5.0 Okolie Confidence Low 0.350

10.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Low 0.420

Stance Advantage Okolie Advantage Vs Southpaw vs Billam-Smith Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

47.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.580

62.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

Vs Southpaw

53.0 Okolie Confidence Medium 0.620

38.0 Billam-Smith Confidence Medium 0.670

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Okolie

66.67 Billam-Smith

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Okolie

0 Billam-Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Okolie

33.33 Billam-Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3

47.67 Okolie

75.35 Billam-Smith

Trend Score Last 5

85 Okolie

80 Billam-Smith

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Okolie

80.83 Billam-Smith

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

69.05 Okolie

32.5 Billam-Smith

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Okolie

33.33 Billam-Smith

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

49.94 Okolie

75.35 Billam-Smith

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

92.5 Okolie

90 Billam-Smith

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Okolie moves down 2 classes.

Billam-Smith stays in class.

Interaction: low advantage Billam-Smith.

Advantage: Billam-Smith

Reach vs Height Delta

Okolie reach: 210.0cm height: 196.0cm delta: 14.0cm

Billam-Smith reach: 193.0cm height: 191.0cm delta: 2.0cm

Interaction: high advantage Okolie.

Advantage: Okolie

Stance Interaction

Okolie advantage against southpaw: 53.0

Billam-Smith advantage against orthodox: 62.0

Interaction: low advantage Billam-Smith.

Advantage: Billam-Smith

Style Interaction

Okolie style: Boxer Puncher

Billam-Smith style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral