Richard Torrez vs Tomáš Šálek

Data as of: 2026-05-14 01:13:22 UTC Historical As-of 2025-11-15

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Jr. vs Šálek 15 Nov 2025 Result: Torrez Historical Pick 89.87% Prediction: Correct Tap to expand Analysis

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Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Fight result Richard Torrez (TKO)

Model pick Richard Torrez 89.87%

Prediction result Correct

Jr. odds 1.0100

Šálek odds 15.0000

Jr. implied 99.01%

Šálek implied 6.67%

Pick odds 1.01

Pick implied 99.01%

Expected return 0.9077

ROI -9.23%

Edge -9.14%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:09:13 UTC

Fighter details

Richard Torrez Jr.

Score 66.22 · 14-0-0 (12 KO)

Full name Richard Torrez Jr.

Age 26 · Rank #165 · Confidence Medium 0.534

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 193cm · US

TŠ

Tomáš Šálek

Score 38.43 · 23-8-0 (14 KO)

Full name Tomas Salek

Age 27 · Rank #467 · Confidence Low 0.337

Stance Orthodox · H/R 192cm / 193cm · CZ

Richard Torrez Jr.

Full name: Richard Torrez Jr.
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #165
Current model score: 66.22
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.534
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 188cm / 193cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 14-0-0 (12 KO)

15 Nov 2025

Pre-fight Projection

Result

Torrez

Historical

90% Torrez Jr.

10% Šálek

Fight result: Richard Torrez (TKO)
Model pick: Richard Torrez 89.87%
Prediction result: Correct
Pick probability: 89.87%
Market odds: 1.01
Implied probability: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -9.23%
Value edge: -9.14%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:09:13 UTC

TŠ

Tomáš Šálek

Full name: Tomas Salek
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #467
Current model score: 38.43
Fighter confidence: Low 0.337
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 192cm / 193cm
Nationality: CZ
Career snapshot: 23-8-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

75.2 Jr. Confidence High 0.810

57.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.460

Punching Accuracy

83.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

48.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.280

Hand Speed

74.2 Jr. Confidence Low 0.480

45.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.180

Pace Pressure

82.5 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.590

50.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.320

Defensive Skill

71.6 Jr. Confidence Low 0.430

38.0 Šálek Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

75.2 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.500

47.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.340

Ring Iq Adaptability

76.7 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.570

46.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.350

Counter Punching

72.9 Jr. Confidence Low 0.390

43.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.220

Chin

69.2 Jr. Confidence Low 0.340

34.0 Šálek Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

70.8 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

55.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.470

Style Profile Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Power Slugger vs Šálek: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

24.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.560

8.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.150

Out Boxer

10.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.420

27.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.320

Power Slugger

28.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

20.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.350

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.640

38.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Puncher

8.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.310

7.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.120

Stance Advantage Jr. Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Šálek Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.710

59.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.340

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.480

41.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.260

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Jr.

33.33 Šálek

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Jr.

0 Šálek

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

66.67 Jr.

100 Šálek

Opponent Rating Last 3

52.33 Jr.

54.4 Šálek

Trend Score Last 5

100 Jr.

40 Šálek

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Jr.

48.48 Šálek

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

78.79 Jr.

0 Šálek

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

66.67 Jr.

100 Šálek

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

52.33 Jr.

54.4 Šálek

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Jr.

60 Šálek

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Šálek stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Reach vs Height Delta

Jr. reach: 193.0cm height: 188.0cm delta: 5.0cm

Šálek reach: 193.0cm height: 192.0cm delta: 1.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Stance Interaction

Jr. advantage against orthodox: 68.0

Šálek advantage against orthodox: 59.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr.

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Šálek style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral