Richard Torrez vs Tomáš Šálek

Data as of: 2026-05-22 14:32:00 UTC Historical As-of 2025-11-15

Analysis

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Jr. vs Šálek 15 Nov 2025 Model pick: Torrez Historical 87.88% ROI: -11.24% Tap to expand Analysis

Change fighters and profiles

Matchup weight class

Using confirmed bout weight class for matchup factors.

Bout details

Model pick Richard Torrez 87.88%

Jr. odds 1.0100

Šálek odds 15.0000

Jr. implied 99.01%

Šálek implied 6.67%

Pick odds 1.01

Pick implied 99.01%

Expected return 0.8876

ROI -11.24%

Edge -11.13%

Lean No Value

Bout Historical

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:09:13 UTC

Fighter details

Richard Torrez Jr.

Score 69.32 · 14-0-0 (12 KO)

Full name Richard Torrez Jr.

Age 26 · Rank #106 · Confidence Medium 0.596

Stance Southpaw · H/R 188cm / 193cm · US

TŠ

Tomáš Šálek

Score 38.50 · 23-8-0 (14 KO)

Full name Tomas Salek

Age 27 · Rank #484 · Confidence Low 0.337

Stance Orthodox · H/R 192cm / 193cm · CZ

Richard Torrez Jr.

Full name: Richard Torrez Jr.
Age: 26
Fighter rank: #106
Current model score: 69.32
Fighter confidence: Medium 0.596
Stance: Southpaw
Height/Reach: 188cm / 193cm
Nationality: US
Career snapshot: 14-0-0 (12 KO)

15 Nov 2025

Projected Win Split

Model pick

Torrez

Historical

88% Torrez Jr.

12% Šálek

Model pick: Richard Torrez 87.88%
Win probability: 87.88%
Market odds: 1.01
Implied probability: 99.01%
Expected ROI (1u): -11.24%
Value edge: -11.13%
Lean assessment: No Value

Odds updated 2026-04-21 19:09:13 UTC

TŠ

Tomáš Šálek

Full name: Tomas Salek
Age: 27
Fighter rank: #484
Current model score: 38.50
Fighter confidence: Low 0.337
Stance: Orthodox
Height/Reach: 192cm / 193cm
Nationality: CZ
Career snapshot: 23-8-0 (14 KO)

Subjective Stats

Methodology

Punching Power

85.0 Jr. Confidence High 0.770

57.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.460

Punching Accuracy

79.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.680

48.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.280

Hand Speed

76.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.610

45.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.180

Pace Pressure

80.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.720

50.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.320

Defensive Skill

72.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

38.0 Šálek Confidence Medium 0.520

Distance Footwork Control

74.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

47.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.340

Ring Iq Adaptability

78.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.690

46.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.350

Counter Punching

73.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.550

43.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.220

Chin

71.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.430

34.0 Šálek Confidence Medium 0.600

Cardio Engine

75.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.660

55.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.470

Style Profile Jr.: Boxer-Puncher Pressure Swarmer vs Šálek: Boxer-Puncher Out-Boxer Expand

Style rows below share a 100-point allocation for each fighter. They are not separate 100-point scales.

Pressure Swarmer

28.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.580

8.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.150

Out Boxer

10.0 Jr. Confidence Low 0.400

27.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.320

Power Slugger

26.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.670

20.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.350

Boxer Puncher

30.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.630

38.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.450

Counter Puncher

6.0 Jr. Confidence Very Low 0.240

7.0 Šálek Confidence Very Low 0.120

Stance Advantage Jr. Advantage Vs Orthodox vs Šálek Advantage Vs Orthodox Expand

Stance rows below also share a 100-point allocation for each fighter rather than separate 100-point scales.

Vs Orthodox

68.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.650

59.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.340

Vs Southpaw

32.0 Jr. Confidence Medium 0.650

41.0 Šálek Confidence Low 0.260

Objective Stats

Methodology

Win Rate Last 3

100 Jr.

33.33 Šálek

Ko Rate Last 3

66.67 Jr.

0 Šálek

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m

33.33 Jr.

100 Šálek

Opponent Rating Last 3

58.38 Jr.

54.4 Šálek

Trend Score Last 5

100 Jr.

40 Šálek

Win Rate Last 3 Relative

100 Jr.

48.48 Šálek

Ko Rate Last 3 Relative

78.79 Jr.

0 Šálek

Activity Last 3 In Last 12m Relative

33.33 Jr.

100 Šálek

Opponent Rating Last 3 Relative

58.38 Jr.

54.4 Šálek

Trend Score Last 5 Relative

100 Jr.

60 Šálek

Matchup Factors

Weight Class Difference

Jr. stays in class.

Šálek stays in class.

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral

Height Reach Delta

Jr. height: 188.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Šálek height: 192.0cm reach: 193.0cm

Interaction: medium advantage Šálek.

Advantage: Šálek +4.0cm

Stance Interaction

Jr. vs orthodox: 68.0

Šálek vs southpaw: 41.0

Interaction: medium advantage Jr..

Advantage: Jr. (Jr. +27.0 pts)

Style Interaction

Jr. style: Boxer Puncher

Šálek style: Boxer Puncher

Interaction: No advantage.

Advantage: Neutral